The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Garry Tan: 60% of serial founders who built recent unicorns are YC alumni
“Did you know that 40, you know, of those 40%, 60% of those people, the people who created unicorns the last 10 years are YC alumni.”
Garry Tan Apr 29, 2025 ▶ 36:33 Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan: Turning Ambitious Misfits into Founders
Assertion Contradicted
Garry Tan: Paul Graham created the first web browser-based application
“He actually basically created the first web browser based program. So he was one of the first people to hook up a web request to an actual program in Unix.”
Garry Tan Apr 29, 2025 ▶ 3:33 Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan: Turning Ambitious Misfits into Founders
Assertion Contradicted
Garry Tan: About 2.5% of Y Combinator startups become $10B decacorns
“Yeah, about two and a half percent end up becoming Decacorns sooner or later, so.”
Garry Tan Apr 29, 2025 ▶ 15:43 Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan: Turning Ambitious Misfits into Founders
Assertion Contradicted
Garry Tan: San Francisco had zero housing starts last year
“Literally, there were no new housing starts in all of, you know, San Francisco proper for the last year.”
Garry Tan Apr 29, 2025 ▶ 26:15 Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan: Turning Ambitious Misfits into Founders
Assertion Contradicted
Garry Tan: $4 billion currently funds AI safety organizations and think tanks
“There's something like four billion dollars of money sloshing around think tanks and AI safety organizations”
Garry Tan Apr 29, 2025 ▶ 1:20:14 Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan: Turning Ambitious Misfits into Founders
Assertion Contradicted
Garry Tan: AI code generation makes engineers 5 to 10 times faster
“Today, with CodeGen, you know, today, engineers are basically, you know, writing code about five or 10 X faster than they would before.”
Garry Tan Apr 29, 2025 ▶ 1:25:39 Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan: Turning Ambitious Misfits into Founders
Assertion Contradicted
Garry Tan: Apple opened RCS messaging in reaction to DOJ pressure
“Apple even today still, you know, they're opening it up a little bit more with RCS, but, you know, it's those are actually in reaction to the work of Jonathan Cantor and the DOJ.”
Garry Tan Apr 29, 2025 ▶ 1:27:27 Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan: Turning Ambitious Misfits into Founders
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