why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stephenson: Hydrogen will probably succeed electric vehicles as next propulsion era
“The electrics will probably be with us for quite a while until the next probably hydrogen step comes in. And I see that as one day being probably the successor to the electric market or the electric age that we're going through now.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frank Stephenson: Full autonomy requires 100% intelligent vehicle adoption
“Until we can get a hundred percent of the cars working on the same level, I don't think we're going to see it.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frank Stephenson predicts full autonomy will arrive in aviation before ground transit
“I don't see a full system of autonomous driving cars working in the near future. It'll happen in the sky, I think, before it will happen on, on the ground.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frank Stephenson predicts future vehicle efficiency demands will drive thinner tire development
“And so we're going to be looking probably at new ways of making tires in such a way that they become thinner And still have maximum adhesion in all circumstances.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stephenson: Car companies keep design teams small, limiting global designer numbers
“The thing is, car design is not a big profession. It's, there are not a lot of car designers in the world because simply car companies don't need a lot of designers. They, you know, even the big ones, they try to keep their teams pretty small, so there aren't,…”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Frank Stephenson reveals McLaren modeled the P1 hypercar air ducts on sailfish
“We used that to put into the air intake ducts on the P-one to make, to actually accelerate the air going into the car. So if you feed more air into an engine, basically you're going to get more power out of it. So we found a distinct advantage by using these s…”
Assertion Supported
Stephenson: Military aircraft are intentionally designed to be aerodynamically unstable
“The most innovation comes obviously from the military from military aviation, where planes are basically designed to be or these military, Aircraft are designed to be unstable so they can maneuver much more quickly.”