The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Gil: AI Business Models Will Shift to Selling Units of Cognition
“I think in a couple years we'll start thinking about it as we're selling units of cognition, right? We're selling bits of person time or person equivalent to do stuff for us.”
Gil: The Tech Sector Will See Fewer New Foundation Model Companies
“We'll see fewer, what are known as foundation model companies, the people building the open AIs or Anthropics or some of the Google core technologies.”
Gil: AI will deliver major breakthroughs in math and physics soon
“If you look at things like math and physics and other things like that, people are just starting to train models against that now. So I do think we'll, in the coming years, see some really interesting breakthroughs there.”
Gil: AI models will evolve from intern-level capability to senior managers
“And as the models get more and more capable, they'll be less like an intern and more like a junior employee, and then they'll be like a senior employee, and then they'll be like a manager, and they'll kind of, you know, as the models get better and better, and…”