why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2031
Baszucki predicts users will eventually create video games entirely via voice
“But getting to the point where you or I make a beautiful thing, share it with our family, play it just by talking about it, I think is going to come true as well.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baszucki: VR interfaces will likely evolve from goggles to non-intrusive tech
“I think that's probably more where it's gonna go, probably. Than just goggles and stuff like that.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Baszucki: Gaming insiders universally warned Roblox against shipping simple block avatars
“Universally, all of the gaming industry people we would talk to, whoa, whoa, whoa, do not ship that. Like, you need a full avatar, you know, you need a meshed avatar. It's got to be high res. Your objects need to look better. So we got that universally. I woul…”
Assertion Supported
Baszucki estimates Roblox captures 3% to 4% of the $200B gaming market
“Well, you can look at where we're tracking on our bookings, and I think if you divide our bookings by two hundred billion, we're in the three to four percent.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Baszucki: Many 8-to-12-year-olds get their first money exposure from Robux
“It's interesting to think that many, many Eight through twelve-year-olds, their first exposure to money is Robux.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baszucki: Photorealistic multiplayer gaming will rival the shift to color TV
“So I do think there's going to be a future world Where we have all the aspects of the multiplayer gaming interesting, but it feels like that. And I think that's going to be pretty mind blowing. It's going to be a little bit like going from black and white to c…”
Assertion Supported
Baszucki: Roblox achieved significant scale before introducing creator monetization
“Roblox got pretty big without a developer A way for developers to earn money on the platform. It was a hobby for everyone.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Baszucki: Roblox validated its creator economy within eight hours of launch
“And so launching all of those things at the same time, there's virtual currency. People can buy it. Creators can incorporate it. You can see what's earning. It created like a loop or a system that within eight hours, we just said, yep, we got it.”
Assertion Supported
Baszucki: Robux has maintained a stable one-cent price for 20 years
“If you were or I were to go buy some Robux we would see it's generally somewhat like a penny per Robux. It's generally been that way for about 20 years, so I would say that's no, no promise long term. It's directly tied to the dollar, but I think we would try …”