The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Kahneman: Income above $70,000 raises life satisfaction but not emotional happiness
“The research I did with Angus Deaton at Princeton, famous economist, we showed that in terms of happiness, in terms of emotional tone, positive and negative, Having a lot of money doesn't make you happier, but being poor makes you miserable. So that's above a …”
Daniel Kahneman Oct 15, 2019 ▶ 10:38 #68 Daniel Kahneman: Putting Your Intuition on Ice
Assertion Supported
Kahneman: Some evidence cited in 'Thinking, Fast and Slow' has been discredited
“There's been a replication crisis in psychology. And some of the stuff that I really believed in when I wrote Thinking Fast and Slow, some of that evidence has been discredited.”
Daniel Kahneman Oct 15, 2019 ▶ 1:01:00 #68 Daniel Kahneman: Putting Your Intuition on Ice
Assertion Supported
Kahneman: Incomes above $70,000 boost life satisfaction but not emotional happiness
“The research I did with Angus Deaton at Princeton, famous economist, we showed that in terms of happiness, in terms of emotional tone, positive and negative, Having a lot of money doesn't make you happier, but being poor makes you miserable. So, that's above a…”
Daniel Kahneman Jul 22, 2025 ▶ 16:12 Daniel Kahneman: Algorithms Make Better Decisions Than You
Assertion Supported
Kahneman: Insurance underwriters varied by 50% on identical cases, despite 10% expectations
“So, we asked the executives the following question. Suppose you take two underwriters at random. By what percentage do they differ? I mean, you look at the difference between the premium, divide that by the average premium. What number do you get? And people e…”
Daniel Kahneman Jul 22, 2025 ▶ 1:04:12 Daniel Kahneman: Algorithms Make Better Decisions Than You
Assertion Supported
Kahneman: Insurance underwriters varied by 50% on identical cases, defying 10% expectations
“So, we asked the executives the following question. Suppose you take two underwriters at random. By what percentage do they differ? I mean, you look at the difference between their premium, divide that by the average premium. What number do you get? And people…”
Daniel Kahneman Oct 15, 2019 ▶ 57:42 #68 Daniel Kahneman: Putting Your Intuition on Ice
Assertion Supported
Kahneman: Agents making decisions on behalf of others skip loss aversion
“But there is an interesting result that if you have an agent making decisions on somebody's behalf, that agent doesn't have loss of urge. So that agent sells and buys at the same price, which is the economically rational thing to do.”
Daniel Kahneman Oct 15, 2019 ▶ 18:26 #68 Daniel Kahneman: Putting Your Intuition on Ice
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