why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Virtual reality will be the next computing wave after mobile
“I think it will be, like, when we look back on the history of computing, it will be, the key milestones will be, I mean, I'm, this is, I'm at the extreme end of excitement here, but there'll be, you know, the PC, the Macintosh, or something like this, then the…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Dixon: By 2025 remote conversations will probably occur in VR
“I think, you know, in 10 years, we'd be probably having this conversation in virtual reality, and we'd be, you know, looking at each other across the room, and it would feel like we're in the same room.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Newer venture firms will increasingly adopt a16z-style operating models
“I think you will see more and more of our kind of style. I think it will probably come from newer firms.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dixon: In 20 years people will be stunned by today's food
“So we think that when you look back, 20 years from now, people will just be stunned by the kind of foods that we ate today.”