why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath predicts markets will financialize and fractionalize ownership of everything
“So we're going to financialize everything.
And we're going to fractionalize ownership of probably everything.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030
Chamath: US will spend tens of trillions on recovery within a decade
“Whether you call it the Green New Deal on the left or the infrastructure bill on the right, we are going to spend in the next decade tens of trillions of dollars to try to dig ourselves out of this unemployment and GDP hole that has been exacerbated by the cor…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath Palihapitiya predicts the world's first trillionaire will be in climate change
“The world's first trillionaire will be somebody in climate change.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Going long on high-growth companies is the decade's winning playbook
“Basically my solution is you've got to be long growth, higher growth, the better in the areas that matter for people. And I think that, you know, in 10 years from now, that'll be a playbook that really works.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Decarbonization will destroy the value of historical architecture
“I think that architecture will unfortunately have a lot less value in the future because of climate change.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath predicts workers will ultimately want to return to physical offices
“It's partially real, and I think the biggest implication is belongingness, community, feeling part of a group. And so, I think when we can go back to the office, we'll want to.”