The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Flatt: US Business Productivity Over Next 20 Years Probably Unprecedented
“But the productivity advances we see over the next 20 years probably will be unprecedented for a period of time. Certainly one, we haven't seen it for a long time, ah, in business, ah, across America.”
Flatt: 401(k)s and Global Retirement Plans Will Open to Alternatives
“For one case in the US are going to open up to alternatives. I think plans around the world will open up to alternatives.”
Flatt: AI and Robotics Will Enable Manufacturing Reshoring to the US
“If you can shrink the labor component many of those plants can come back to where the demand is specifically I'd say the United States.”
Flatt: China will thrive independently as a consumer service economy
“I think China, it's a, it's an economy in itself today. It's 1.5 billion people. They're getting richer every day. They're turning into a consumer service society. There's not that much of manufacturing that's relevant to them. I think they will do extremely w…”
Flatt: Credit Spreads Are the Lowest in History
“Today, Base rates are high. We're back to five. Guess what? Spreads are the lowest they've ever been in history. We just did a thirty-year Brookfield Corporation financing, so we're borrowing money for 30 years, fixed for that time period, and it's a 125 over.”
Flatt: AI's Real Money Is in Applying It to Business Processes
“Ah, but really what the, where the money is going to be made is the application of artificial intelligence into business. And simply stated that's taking processes in service and industrial businesses And making them more efficient by using advanced robotics w…”
Flatt: AI Infrastructure Capital Inflows Are Historically Unprecedented
“But from an infrastructure standpoint, the amount of money being put behind this, ah, is, ah, in amounts which have almost never been seen invested before.”
Flatt: Solar and wind are the lowest-cost power sources globally
“Solar and wind, which is where we're Which is what's filling the gap are the lowest cost energy sources for power in the world in most countries today.”
Flatt: Batteries and nuclear power will eventually replace gas base load
“Eventually batteries and nuclear Will be the base load, and it won't be natural gas, but it's being shipped elsewhere in the world, and where it's going to is needed for base load, because they need that, that base load power, or it's replacing coal, which is …”
Flatt: Most available data center sites are pre-contracted for 20 years
“Most sites today that are available to be built are already contracted to somebody for the next 20 years.”
Flatt: Short-Term Interest Rates Will Fall Another 50 to 100 Basis Points
“I'm sure we're going to see another few hundred, a few, another 50, a hundred base points off of the short rates, and we're going to settle into just a regular range of rates.”
Flatt: Brookfield's parent company achieved 19% annualized returns over 30 years
“The point is, we've earned, our parent companies earn 19% return, annualized returns for 30 years.”
Flatt: Brookfield has avoided irreparable harm over 35 years by limiting mistake size
“When we're wrong, where are we wrong? We're wrong in increment, in small ways which aren't, have, you don't know about them very much, because in the last 35 years, we've been right generally on the large things, and nothing has been irreparably harm harmful, …”