why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Berkshire Hathaway's Next Leaders Will Aggressively Push Operating Margins and Efficiency
“It appears to us the next generation is going to be much more focused on, you know, extracting the most from the businesses Berkshire owns.”
Assertion Supported
Ackman: Herbalife runs paid Google ads targeting my name
“Herbalife is still running a negative campaign about me personally, which I find fairly remarkable. The way you can see this is if you Google my name I don't know if you want to do this right now. What will pop up is an advertisement And it, the advertisement …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ackman: Pandemic will force corporate America away from aggressive leverage
“I do think this is a depression era moment in the sense, psychologically, the same way that the generation of people that went through the depression thought very different about, differently about financial leverage, you know, than the generations that came a…”
Assertion Supported
Ackman: Herbalife settled with SEC for $20M over China disclosures
“In the last six months, and you can Google it, Herbalife paid, settled with the SEC for twenty million dollars for misleadingly describing their China business and their public finance, because it actually, the compensation scheme is precisely the same as, and…”
Assertion Supported
Ackman: 85% of Pershing Square's capital is permanent public capital
“85% of our capital is in the, you know, comes from a public company. And as a result, we have very, very long duration money, and we don't need to worry about this quarter or this year in making decisions, and that, I think, is a huge advantage.”
Assertion Supported
Ackman: Dedicated black swan funds surged 1,000% in market crash
“All they do is put on these kind of hedges waiting for disaster, and they're, you know, some of them are up a thousand percent. You know, some of the smaller ones are up a thousand percent in the last month or so.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ackman: Mall restructurings will convert excess retail into mixed-use facilities
“And so, again, you'll see restructurings where the lender to the mall ends up with the asset. Someone entrepreneurial decides, you know what, we don't need this much retail. We'll make half of it a hospital, medical facility, office, apartments, and then there…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2030
Ackman: Pershing Square will eventually hold 100% of capital in public vehicle
“The vast majority of our capital today is 85%, you know, over time that will be 90 or 95, or eventually a hundred percent of our capital will be in a public enterprise that we're the largest shareholder of.”