The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2025
Calacanis: US rules will let non-accredited gig workers invest in startups
“We're going to see some regulation in the United States where people are going to be able to be sophisticated investors, In other words, maybe they don't have the accreditation benchmark of whatever it is, a 152 100,000 a year in revenue of, in you know, incom…”
Jason Calacanis Apr 14, 2020 ▶ 53:32 #81 Jason Calacanis: Intelligent Risk
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Howey predicts self-driving robotaxis will reduce car ownership to 10%
“And car ownership is going to become a thing that only a minority of humans even own a car because of the way they'll even they'll never be parked really though because every car that can drive itself is a robot, basically, that can go earn money by running Ub…”
Hugh Howey Aug 6, 2019 ▶ 28:20 #63 Hugh Howey: Winning at the Self-publishing Game
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