why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Harmonic surpassed Google AlphaProof's capabilities within one year
“Alpha Proof was the first AI model to get a silver medal, to achieve silver medal performance at the IMO last year.
But Alpha Proof they did not announce a gold this year.
So, yeah, we were we were, the Harmonic team was excited about that, that, you know, i…”
Assertion Supported
Holland: Samsung Android 11 builds may lack upstream security fixes
“You could have, you know, the latest Samsung phone running Android 11 that doesn't actually have all of the security fixes that the main Android branch has.”
Assertion Supported
Google Still Makes the Majority of Its Revenue From Contextual Keyword Ads
“And if you think about it, that's really still what Google does most of the time on Google search because all the search ads are still bid on keywords, right? They're just using your search history in addition to target ads of you on YouTube and Gmail and the …”
Assertion Supported
Ackman: Herbalife runs paid Google ads targeting my name
“Herbalife is still running a negative campaign about me personally, which I find fairly remarkable. The way you can see this is if you Google my name I don't know if you want to do this right now. What will pop up is an advertisement And it, the advertisement …”
Assertion Supported
Google Tracks 80% of the Top Million Websites; Facebook Tracks 25%
“Google's on about 80% of the top million sites and a lot of that's Google Analytics, but also, like the Google Ads and stuff like that. Facebook's on 25% and that's this Facebook pixel where it could be the Facebook login, or just sites run Facebook ads, or th…”
Assertion Supported
Evans: Big Tech capex reached $220B and will surpass $300B
“I think last year the Google, Google, Microsoft, AWS, and Meta spent about two hundred and twenty billion dollars of CapEx last year, And we'll probably spend something over 300 this year.”
Assertion Supported
Gil: Major open-source technologies historically require giant corporate backers
“Almost every single major open source company has had a giant, ah, institutional backer. IBM was the biggest funder of Linux in the nineties as a counterbalance to Microsoft. And the biggest funders of all the open source browsers are Apple and Google with Web…”
Assertion Supported
Ridley: Google founders initially thought they were just cataloguing the internet
“Larry Page and Sergey Brin, who invented Google, thought they were cataloguing the internet. They didn't think they were inventing a search engine to start with.”
Assertion Supported
Zweig: The average historical return for retail IPO buyers is rotten
“Instead of letting somebody tell you it's the next Google, you have to ask yourself, what's the average experience of people who have bought IPOs? The answer is it's rotten.”
Assertion Supported
Sutherland: Vanishingly few Google users click 'I'm Feeling Lucky'
“The number of people who actually click it, i.e., I'm feeling lucky, take me straight to a single page, is vanishingly small. People want to choose between, you know, effectively above-the-fold options”
Assertion Supported
Balcetis: Google Reduced Unhealthy Snacking by Altering Visual Accessibility
“What they found was that just by changing what it is that people could see easily, they changed consumption patterns. People people ate less of the unhealthier stuff, even though it was still there, simply because it was sort of out of sight.”