The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Parrish: Government Fees Account for 30% of New Home Prices in Canada
“I've seen reports, at least in Canada, that 30% of the price of a new home is basically government fees.”
Shane Parrish Jan 20, 2026 ▶ 28:23 Morgan Housel: Wealth is What You Have Minus What You Want
Assertion Contradicted
Shane Parrish: El Salvador replaced its K-5 math curriculum with Synthesis Tutor
“And it's crazy, so it teaches the kids math, and my understanding just from reading it a little bit is El Salvador just replaced, like, the K through five math with synthesis tutor, and the results are, like, astounding.”
Shane Parrish Apr 29, 2025 ▶ 58:07 Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan: Turning Ambitious Misfits into Founders
Assertion Supported
Vanderbilt's Famous 'I'll Ruin You' Threat Letter Is Likely Apocryphal
“The letter perfectly capturing Vanderbilt's fierce reputation, Bias toward action and blunt style is likely apocryphal. Historians point out it first appeared decades later in Vanderbilt's obituary without evidence and the language used doesn't match Vanderbil…”
Shane Parrish Apr 8, 2025 ▶ 48:33 Cornelius Vanderbilt: The First Tycoon [Outliers]
Assertion Partly supported
Vanderbilt's $11M fortune in 1860 likely made him America's richest citizen
“His estimated wealth of around eleven million likely made him America's richest private citizen.”
Shane Parrish Apr 8, 2025 ▶ 1:01:41 Cornelius Vanderbilt: The First Tycoon [Outliers]
Assertion Supported
At His Death, Vanderbilt Held Up to One-Ninth of All US Currency
“By his death, he reportedly held one ninth or one 20th, depending on how you count it, of all U.S. Currencies, sparking debate over his wealth, democracy, and the unsettling power of massive corporations.”
Shane Parrish Apr 8, 2025 ▶ 1:15:09 Cornelius Vanderbilt: The First Tycoon [Outliers]
Assertion Supported
Parrish: Berkshire Hathaway holds roughly $300B in cash
“And if you think about it now, it's like they have three hundred billion ish in cash.”
Shane Parrish Nov 12, 2024 ▶ 59:00 Adam Karr: The Investing Blueprint
Assertion Contradicted
Parrish: Selling one million copies ranks a book in the top 0.001%
“A million puts you in like the top, 0.001% of all books ever published.”
Shane Parrish Oct 18, 2022 ▶ 1:33:30 Neil Pasricha: Simple Rules for Happiness
Assertion Supported
Steve Jobs Held Over $100 Million When Forced Out of Apple
“He's got over a hundred million, I think.”
Shane Parrish Sep 1, 2026 ▶ 5:59 What 12 Years of Failure Taught Steve Jobs About Success
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