The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

0resolved → 2open claims → 0supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2028

Wolfe: SK Hynix will bypass export controls easier than Micron

“I think Micron is a US company which is going to be more constrained by restrictions that are put on export control, and I think SK being a Korean company is going to be able to skirt those in the same way that NVIDIA has with, you know, distribution to China …”

Josh Wolfe Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 10:25 Josh Wolfe: Human Advantage in the World of AI

Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030

Wolfe: 30% to 50% of AI inference will occur on-device

“I think that you're going to end up doing a lot of inference on device. Meaning, instead of going, ah, to the cloud and typing a query, like, 30 to 50% of your inference may be on an Apple or an Android device.”

Josh Wolfe Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 9:16 Josh Wolfe: Human Advantage in the World of AI

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The Ledger

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