The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Gil: 80% to 90% of AI market cap is in the Bay Area
“If you look at AI, it's like, 80 to 90% of the market cap is all in the Bay Area.”
Elad Gil May 13, 2025 ▶ 1:25:02 Elad Gil: How to Spot a Billion-Dollar Startup Before the Rest of the World
Assertion Partly supported
Gil: Anduril achieved fastest DoD program of record since Korean War
“And I think Anderle did their first program of record in something like three and a half years, so it was remarkably fast. I think it was the fastest program of record since the Korean War or something, which is super impressive.”
Elad Gil May 13, 2025 ▶ 1:29:21 Elad Gil: How to Spot a Billion-Dollar Startup Before the Rest of the World
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