why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Partly held up
Planned US LNG expansion would surpass Europe's total greenhouse gas emissions
“If we let it go all the way that the LNG industry wants, Soon enough, American LNG exports will be producing more greenhouse gas emissions than everything that goes on in Europe.”
Prediction Partly held up
Paruri: All-perovskite tandems could achieve 60% to 70% efficiency
“And over time, you can engineer out the silicon, and you're just doing perovskite on perovskite on perovskite tandems, You can get to 60 or 70% efficiency.”
Prediction Partly held up
Shah: Trump administration will roll back wind and solar pauses to avoid blackouts
“I think they're going to be forced to pull it back too, just because it's 90% of everything that gets deployed in the grid, right? And so at some point, if none of that stuff gets deployed in the grid, we're going to have rolling blackouts.”
Prediction Partly held up
Davis: Global solar growth rates to slow, remaining flat in China
“But then, you know, this year and next year we're sort of hitting, we're kind of like hitting past that inflection point and growth rates are actually going to slow in many different markets. China being one of them. So growth's actually flat over the next sev…”
Prediction Partly held up
US hydrogen rules will likely adopt three pillars with phase-ins
“The U.S. Guidance is likely to follow these three pillars that are outlined on additionality, temporal matching, and deliverability or geographic correlation with some sort of phase in, particularly on the requirement for additionality, so for new renewable en…”
Prediction Partly held up
Citizen-driven solar in Puerto Rico will reach 1 gigawatt by 2025
“The fossil fuel industry still have a total control of PREPA, but we have done like a projection by 20, 25, Puerto Rico should be producing by net metering by citizenship. Citizen investment up to one gigawatt of power, which will be more than necessary for re…”
Prediction Partly held up
Shah: Republicans will pass Trump tax cuts bill and flip five Democrats
“Like, if you think that the Republicans on the Hill are not going to pass a bill that actually extends the Trump tax cuts, like, you're nuts. And if you think that it's not going to be super easy to peel off five Democrats to vote for it, Just by giving them, …”
Prediction Partly held up
BNEF's Sekine: Average battery prices will fall 6% to $133/kWh in 2024
“Our, like our expectation at BNF is that prices will drop this year. So drop about six percent. So we averaged last year, just as a pricing point, we averaged at about 139 dollars per kilowatt hour on a volume average basis. So that includes all segments that …”
Prediction Partly held up
US LNG exports are expected to double again in three years
“And just in the last three years, we've had a doubling of LNG exports, and the amount already under construction is expected to approve, is expected to double again in the next three years, how much LNG.”