why aren't all 21 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Pichai: AI is more profound than fire or electricity
“You know, I've always thought of AI as the most profound technology humanity is working on. More profound than fire or electricity or anything that we have done in the past.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Janus: 2x more efficient AI chips will lead tech giants to deploy 2x more chips
“And, you know, I had someone ask me the other day, well, what happens if, you know, if NVIDIA comes out with a chip that's twice as efficient? And my response to that is, well, then Meta or Microsoft or Google will plug in twice as many chips. If they have the…”
Disclosure
Kairos plans to deliver 500 MW to Google across seven nuclear reactors
“When we look at the 500 megawatt total capacity for Google we're looking at kind of the 50 megawatts, ah, on the Hermes II side, and then we're looking at basically six more reactors to deliver at 75 megawatts each as kind of an evolution of that that initial …”
Insight
Kahn: Decentralized mining incentivizes cheap fossil fuels over Big Tech net-zero goals
“When it comes to these big tech companies, like Google, for example, like they want to get to net zero. They want to get to a hundred percent renewables. That is like a centralized decision that Google is making for crypto and for cryptocurrency mining in part…”
Disclosure
Google buys clean energy attributes while TVA gets electricity from Kairos
“We have a really exciting announcement that we just had with TVA and Google that, that kind of puts together a novel commercial arrangement around this new evolution of the plant itself, and so it really is kind of a novel structure that allows all three parti…”
Assertion Contradicted
Groarke: Google estimates AI drives 15% of its load growth
“Google estimates that 15% of their load growth is going to be AI or is AI right now, right?”
Assertion Supported
Gallucci: Fervo and Google launched an advanced geothermal plant in Nevada
“And late last month Fervo and Google successfully started operating a first-of-its-kind power plant in Nevada using these advanced geothermal techniques. And it's now delivering electricity to the grid in Nevada, which is where Google operates some of its mass…”
Assertion Supported
Lacey: Fervo and Google brought two Nevada geothermal wells operational
“Fervo and Google just announced this week that, that two of the wells that they financed in Nevada are operational, and they're using horizontal drilling techniques to You know, borrowed from the oil and gas industry to drill cheaper geothermal wells, and so, …”
Insight
El Naggar: Tech talent fails in climate without industry domain expertise
“I think what we've seen a lot is some very smart, you know, former Google engineers who can write an amazing piece of software but they're, you know, then trying to completely change the way utilities work, but not one member of the team has ever worked in a u…”
Insight
Goodman: Immediate 10x moonshots fail for core decarbonization use cases
“I think one of the things we've learned at Google is jumping right to the, like, 10 X solution doesn't always work. We have X for that. That's kind of the moonshot factory, but for a lot of the sort of core use cases, it's really important to define a bite-siz…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Radovanovic: Carbon-Aware Computing Required No Fundamental Changes to Google Data Centers
“There is nothing that we fundamentally changed in how we run our data centers.”
Opinion
Radovanovic: Google 24/7 Clean Energy Target Requires Data Center Load Shaping
“This is practically impossible if we don't shape the load.”
Assertion Supported
Goodman: Google TPU v4 is twice as energy-efficient as TPU v3
“So just one example TPU version four is actually twice as efficient as TPU version three. So that means, you know, the amount of machine learning compute that we can run is substantially more for less energy.”
Assertion Partly supported
Goodman: Google delivers 5x more compute per unit of electricity versus 2018
“And just to add another kind of metric there compared to, Five years ago, we are now delivering the same amount of compute, or sorry, five times the amount of compute for the same amount of electricity.”
Assertion Supported
Ramanathan: Google and data centers push for hourly 24/7 green power matching
“Many of them, you know, Google comes to mind, are really pushing for twenty-four-seven green power, which is to say that a given data center Every hour of power that it consumes off the grid, brown power, should be matched by green power.”
Assertion Supported
Kairos, TVA, and Google partner on a 50MW nuclear data center deal
“The Tennessee Valley Authority, Google, and California-based Kairos Power announced a collaboration today. TVA will eventually buy nuclear power from that plant in Oak Ridge, which will then supply up to 50 megawatts of energy to TVA's power grid. That grid po…”
Disclosure
Jewett: Google agreed to buy Fervo power with zero upfront risk
“And so we ended up, you know, landing Google for that contract, and Google said, we are also not going to put anything at risk, but in the event that you end up producing electrons from this system, we will pay you for those electrons.”
Disclosure
Jewett: Fervo signed another power purchase agreement with Google in Nevada
“Google we've remained in close discussions with, and we've signed another power purchase agreement with Google in Nevada.”
Assertion Supported
Woolard: NRG and Google invested $300M and $150M in BrightSource's Ivanpah
“NRG, they came in and were able to take about three hundred million, I believe, of the Equity, both cash and tax. And then Google came in for about half that amount, and that gave us what we needed to do to restart the financing.”
Assertion Supported
Janus: Big tech hyperscalers grew from hundreds of megawatts to gigawatts by 2020
“Early in the two, you know, 2010 time frame, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, you know, they maybe all had a few hundred megawatts of data center capacity. Well, now you get to the end of that decade, now they're all sitting on a few gigawatts of capacity”
Assertion Supported
Goodman: Google reached 66% carbon-free energy across global data centers in 2021
“And so in twenty-twenty-one, we reached 66% carbon-free energy across our global data centers, and that actually includes five data centers that are operating at or near 90% carbon-free.”