why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
BNEF estimates over $120 billion in subsidies for announced hydrogen projects
“We estimated, I think, over a hundred twenty billion dollars in subsidies that could go to all the announced clean hydrogen projects.”
Assertion Supported
BNEF: Only 9% of 2030 Planned Clean Hydrogen Has Offtake Agreements
“According to data from Bloomberg NEF, only around nine percent of low-carbon hydrogen expected to be online by twenty-thirty has an off-take agreement. Of those agreements, only 23% are binding.”
Assertion Supported
Lacey: Electrified transport investment surpassed renewables for first time
“Electrified transport surpassed renewables for the first time.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
BNEF: Mass commercialization of solid-state batteries expected post-2030
“Our view is in terms of mass commercialization, that's probably, like, around, like, post- twenty-thirty, with a lot of investment actually going into that now.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Sekine: Gigawatt-hour scale battery projects will likely become standard by 2030
“I think the fully formed ones are probably around gigawatt hour scale projects. We see a couple of examples of those today, but I think expecting them to be the norm of how company, like a lot of large scale projects might go forward. I imagine that's going to…”
Assertion Supported
Gallucci: BNEF estimates a 25% steel price hike raises car production costs 1%
“And an interesting point I saw from Bloomberg NEF, BNEF said that they estimated that a 25% increase in the price of steel would only raise vehicle production costs by one percent because it's a, it's an important but not massive part, I guess, of the overall …”
Opinion
Atwood: Material efficiency in steel will only yield a 10-20% improvement
“I don't think we're actually going to make a lot of things better, not enough to make a real difference. I think there you're thinking about like a 10 or 20% improvement.”
Assertion Supported
Hamilton: Global offshore wind investment surged nearly 80% to $76.7B
“He was struck by the global offshore wind investment, reaching a record 76.7 billion dollars, which was an almost 80% increase in offshore wind.”