Amory Lovins, energy analyst and Rocky Mountain Institute co-founder, discusses European energy policy shifts following Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine.
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“It now looks like the purchases of Russian gas will be cut by two-thirds this year alone, and probably be gone by Next summer, at latest, next autumn”
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More from Amory Lovins
AssertionSupported
Lovins: New Renewables Beat Existing Thermal Plant Operating Costs Globally
“And now, in ninety-odd percent of the world, it's cheaper to build new solar and wind power than to build a fossil-fueled or nuclear power plant, and in upwards of half the world, it's cheaper than just running those thermal plants, even if building them costs…”
Amory LovinsApr 13, 2022▶ 8:18The ‘profound change’ from today’s energy crisis
AssertionContradicted
Lovins: Global peak fossil fuel use almost certainly occurred in 2019
“The result is that peak fossil fuel almost certainly occurred in 2019, globally.”
Amory LovinsApr 13, 2022▶ 11:16The ‘profound change’ from today’s energy crisis
PredictionDidn’t hold up
Lovins: Russia's war will push global fossil fuel use into steep decline
“Putin's war really puts the last nails in that coffin, turning what was usually forecast as a bumpy plateau of fossil fuel use for most of the rest of this decade into a steep decline.”
Amory LovinsApr 13, 2022▶ 11:27The ‘profound change’ from today’s energy crisis
AssertionPartly supported
Lovins: Pipe friction optimization can save one-fifth of world electricity
“You have this order of magnitude energy saving sufficient to save about a fifth of the world's electricity or half the coal-fired electricity, and you recover your investment in typically under a year fixing old buildings and factories or instantly in new ones…”
Amory LovinsApr 13, 2022▶ 19:04The ‘profound change’ from today’s energy crisis
Insight
Lovins: Omitting Mechanical Heating Systems Makes Passive Solar Cheaper Overall
“But this is a passive solar banana farm because we don't have a heating system, and it's cheaper to build that way because you save more construction costs leaving out the heating system than you pay extra. For the efficiency techniques that got rid of the hea…”
Amory LovinsApr 13, 2022▶ 7:01The ‘profound change’ from today’s energy crisis
AssertionNot checkable as stated
Lovins: Energy Efficiency and Demand Flexibility Resources Are 3x Larger Than Estimated
“The big surprise for many is that the efficiency resource and what you might call flexi-watts, using electricity timely in a way that doesn't inconvenience the user, those resources are about three times bigger than had been thought.”
Amory LovinsApr 13, 2022▶ 15:14The ‘profound change’ from today’s energy crisis
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