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Brandon Hurlbut

Co-Founder and Partner, Boundary Stone Partners · 1 appearance on the record.

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founderinvestorhostoperatorLinkedIn ↗boundarystone.com ↗

During the Obama administration, Hurlbut served as Chief of Staff at the U.S. Department of Energy and as the White House liaison to energy and environmental cabinet agencies. Following his public service, he co-founded the climate advisory firm Boundary Stone Partners and the climate-tech seed fund Overture VC.

10statements → 9claims → 6claims resolved → 50%fully supported → 4/5average certainty → 2.6/5average debate potential → 2said about them ↓

3 supported 3 partly supported 0 contradicted 1 not yet assessed 2 not checkable as stated how the 9 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

3 predictions · 6 assertions · 1 what if · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 9 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 6 are resolved, 1 is not yet assessed, and 2 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Brandon argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Hurlbut: Projected global warming has dropped from 3.7°C to 2.7°C since 2015
“And since 2015, the projected amount of warming expected in the coming decades has dropped from 3.7 to 2.7 degrees Celsius.”
Brandon Hurlbut Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 30:28 Political Climate: Is the IRA under political threat?

Everything Brandon Hurlbut said on the Green Blueprint that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

What-if
Hurlbut: EV market would not exist without DOE loan to Tesla
“You know, we invested in Tesla, and that spurred the entire electrical vehicle market, and that wouldn't have happened without that government capital at a cheap rate.”
Brandon Hurlbut Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 18:36 Political Climate: Is the IRA under political threat?
Assertion Partly supported
Hurlbut: $250B of $370B in clean tech investment goes to red states
“Axios this morning cited three hundred and seventy billion dollars to boost green energy and technology sectors. Two hundred and fifty billion dollars of that is going to red states.”
Brandon Hurlbut Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 6:13 Political Climate: Is the IRA under political threat?
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hurlbut: US clean tech capacity will meet demand within a couple of years
“Some of these products are only made in China, and we want to build that capacity here, but there are demand for these products, and we don't have the capacity to meet that demand right now. We will in a couple of years once we build all these facilities.”
Brandon Hurlbut Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 14:00 Political Climate: Is the IRA under political threat?
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Hurlbut: US will definitely miss 2030 climate goals under Trump
“You know, the executive power that Trump would have if he was president, we would definitely not be hitting those goals because he would affect the executive branch in a major way.”
Brandon Hurlbut Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 24:47 Political Climate: Is the IRA under political threat?
Assertion Supported
Hurlbut: Projected global warming has dropped from 3.7°C to 2.7°C since 2015
“And since 2015, the projected amount of warming expected in the coming decades has dropped from 3.7 to 2.7 degrees Celsius.”
Brandon Hurlbut Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 30:28 Political Climate: Is the IRA under political threat?
Assertion Partly supported
Hurlbut: 180 scientists warned Biden that LNG emissions rival coal
“The president received a letter from like a 180 scientists saying that When you look at those life cycle emissions, it's almost, or could be worse than coal, and you're locking this stuff in for, like, 40 years if you build these big export facilities.”
Brandon Hurlbut Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 33:20 Political Climate: Is the IRA under political threat?
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hurlbut: EV debate will soon become obsolete as costs fall
“I think the debate will quickly be obsolete just because it'll be like supporting DVDs over streaming when streaming came out. I mean, it's a better machine in every way. The EV that you buy today will be the most expensive EV ever, because the costs just keep…”
Brandon Hurlbut Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 37:07 Political Climate: Is the IRA under political threat?
Assertion Partly supported
Hurlbut: DOE Loan Programs Office has ~3% default rate
“The default rate on those loans is about three percent, which is in line with a commercial bank, yet the DOE is required by statute to take innovative technology risk.”
Brandon Hurlbut Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 39:29 Political Climate: Is the IRA under political threat?
Assertion Supported
Hurlbut: Building wind and solar is cheaper than fossil fuel plants
“It's now cheaper to build wind and solar projects and fossil fuel plants.”
Brandon Hurlbut Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 30:24 Political Climate: Is the IRA under political threat?
Assertion Supported
Hurlbut: 1 in 5 cars sold globally in 2023 was electric
“One in five cars sold worldwide were electric in 2023, compared to one in 24. Five just in 2020.”
Brandon Hurlbut Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 30:16 Political Climate: Is the IRA under political threat?

The other half of the tape: Brandon Hurlbut's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 2 times in 1 episode on the Green Blueprint. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Shomik Dutta 2

Every mention by year

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2025 2 mentions in 1 episode

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
Political Climate: Is the IRA under political threat? Apr 26, 2024 10m
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