Oct 26, 2023 · 45m · green-blueprint

Tackling the tough stuff: steel, cement, and chemicals

Jeff St. John · 13m spoken Julian Spector · 12m spoken Stephen Lacey · 8m spoken Maria Gallucci · 8m spoken
0:00 / 0:00

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Canary Media journalists examine the breakthrough technologies, economic realities, and policy mechanisms driving decarbonization across the heaviest industrial sectors, including steel, cement, chemicals, and clean hydrogen.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. How this is scored →

The hosts as informed peer 3.6 Guest teaching 3.5 Guest disagreement 0.1 The hosts pushing back 0.0
05100:0015:0030:0045:000:02–4:44 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 Icebreaker: The Toughest Things We Have Ever Built Lacey establishes the episode theme after lighthearted banter about building treehouses and trebuchets, citing macroeconomic Rhodium Group data on industrial emissions overtaking power and transport.4:45–7:58 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 Electrifying Ethylene and Cleaning Up Petrochemicals Gallucci explains ethylene as a petrochemical building block and breaks down the 90% emission footprint of steam cracking, while Lacey clarifies electrification vs chemistry changes.7:59–13:00 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 Green Steel Innovations and Electrowinning Iron St. John explains electrowinning iron chemistry and modular ore processing, with Lacey probing commercial readiness and backing from Breakthrough Energy Ventures.13:01–18:26 · The hosts as informed peer 5/10 The Realities and Economics of Green Hydrogen Spector details green hydrogen deployment and DOE hub funding, while Lacey contributes Latitude Media's own reporting on the chicken-and-egg bottleneck in electrolyzer markets.18:39–26:30 · The hosts as informed peer 3/10 Decarbonizing Cement and Concrete Chemistry Gallucci and St. John deliver an in-depth breakdown of limestone calcination chemistry, supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs), and DOE Liftoff report cost curves.26:30–34:05 · The hosts as informed peer 3/10 Commercial Timelines: Near-Term vs. Distant Industrial Solutions Spector challenges conventional wisdom regarding green hydrogen cost competitiveness against fossil fuels, while Gallucci and St. John assess commercial adoption timelines across steel and cement.34:06–40:14 · The hosts as informed peer 3/10 Market Structure, Procurement Power, and Supply Chains Lacey asks about startup vs legacy industry dynamics; St. John and Spector map out public procurement levers in cement, vertically integrated hydrogen developers, and legacy steel makers.40:15–44:31 · The hosts as informed peer 3/10 Reasons for Optimism Across the Heavy Industry Transition The panel reflects on tangible progress over the past decade, highlighting concrete pilots, public buyer pressure on steelmakers, and groundbreaking hydrogen infrastructure.0:02–4:44 · Guest teaching 1/10 Icebreaker: The Toughest Things We Have Ever Built Lacey establishes the episode theme after lighthearted banter about building treehouses and trebuchets, citing macroeconomic Rhodium Group data on industrial emissions overtaking power and transport.4:45–7:58 · Guest teaching 4/10 Electrifying Ethylene and Cleaning Up Petrochemicals Gallucci explains ethylene as a petrochemical building block and breaks down the 90% emission footprint of steam cracking, while Lacey clarifies electrification vs chemistry changes.7:59–13:00 · Guest teaching 4/10 Green Steel Innovations and Electrowinning Iron St. John explains electrowinning iron chemistry and modular ore processing, with Lacey probing commercial readiness and backing from Breakthrough Energy Ventures.13:01–18:26 · Guest teaching 3/10 The Realities and Economics of Green Hydrogen Spector details green hydrogen deployment and DOE hub funding, while Lacey contributes Latitude Media's own reporting on the chicken-and-egg bottleneck in electrolyzer markets.18:39–26:30 · Guest teaching 5/10 Decarbonizing Cement and Concrete Chemistry Gallucci and St. John deliver an in-depth breakdown of limestone calcination chemistry, supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs), and DOE Liftoff report cost curves.26:30–34:05 · Guest teaching 4/10 Commercial Timelines: Near-Term vs. Distant Industrial Solutions Spector challenges conventional wisdom regarding green hydrogen cost competitiveness against fossil fuels, while Gallucci and St. John assess commercial adoption timelines across steel and cement.34:06–40:14 · Guest teaching 5/10 Market Structure, Procurement Power, and Supply Chains Lacey asks about startup vs legacy industry dynamics; St. John and Spector map out public procurement levers in cement, vertically integrated hydrogen developers, and legacy steel makers.40:15–44:31 · Guest teaching 2/10 Reasons for Optimism Across the Heavy Industry Transition The panel reflects on tangible progress over the past decade, highlighting concrete pilots, public buyer pressure on steelmakers, and groundbreaking hydrogen infrastructure.0:02–4:44 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Icebreaker: The Toughest Things We Have Ever Built Lacey establishes the episode theme after lighthearted banter about building treehouses and trebuchets, citing macroeconomic Rhodium Group data on industrial emissions overtaking power and transport.4:45–7:58 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Electrifying Ethylene and Cleaning Up Petrochemicals Gallucci explains ethylene as a petrochemical building block and breaks down the 90% emission footprint of steam cracking, while Lacey clarifies electrification vs chemistry changes.7:59–13:00 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Green Steel Innovations and Electrowinning Iron St. John explains electrowinning iron chemistry and modular ore processing, with Lacey probing commercial readiness and backing from Breakthrough Energy Ventures.13:01–18:26 · Guest disagreement 0/10 The Realities and Economics of Green Hydrogen Spector details green hydrogen deployment and DOE hub funding, while Lacey contributes Latitude Media's own reporting on the chicken-and-egg bottleneck in electrolyzer markets.18:39–26:30 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Decarbonizing Cement and Concrete Chemistry Gallucci and St. John deliver an in-depth breakdown of limestone calcination chemistry, supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs), and DOE Liftoff report cost curves.26:30–34:05 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Commercial Timelines: Near-Term vs. Distant Industrial Solutions Spector challenges conventional wisdom regarding green hydrogen cost competitiveness against fossil fuels, while Gallucci and St. John assess commercial adoption timelines across steel and cement.34:06–40:14 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Market Structure, Procurement Power, and Supply Chains Lacey asks about startup vs legacy industry dynamics; St. John and Spector map out public procurement levers in cement, vertically integrated hydrogen developers, and legacy steel makers.40:15–44:31 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Reasons for Optimism Across the Heavy Industry Transition The panel reflects on tangible progress over the past decade, highlighting concrete pilots, public buyer pressure on steelmakers, and groundbreaking hydrogen infrastructure.0:02–4:44 · The hosts pushing back 0/10 Icebreaker: The Toughest Things We Have Ever Built Lacey establishes the episode theme after lighthearted banter about building treehouses and trebuchets, citing macroeconomic Rhodium Group data on industrial emissions overtaking power and transport.4:45–7:58 · The hosts pushing back 0/10 Electrifying Ethylene and Cleaning Up Petrochemicals Gallucci explains ethylene as a petrochemical building block and breaks down the 90% emission footprint of steam cracking, while Lacey clarifies electrification vs chemistry changes.7:59–13:00 · The hosts pushing back 0/10 Green Steel Innovations and Electrowinning Iron St. John explains electrowinning iron chemistry and modular ore processing, with Lacey probing commercial readiness and backing from Breakthrough Energy Ventures.13:01–18:26 · The hosts pushing back 0/10 The Realities and Economics of Green Hydrogen Spector details green hydrogen deployment and DOE hub funding, while Lacey contributes Latitude Media's own reporting on the chicken-and-egg bottleneck in electrolyzer markets.18:39–26:30 · The hosts pushing back 0/10 Decarbonizing Cement and Concrete Chemistry Gallucci and St. John deliver an in-depth breakdown of limestone calcination chemistry, supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs), and DOE Liftoff report cost curves.26:30–34:05 · The hosts pushing back 0/10 Commercial Timelines: Near-Term vs. Distant Industrial Solutions Spector challenges conventional wisdom regarding green hydrogen cost competitiveness against fossil fuels, while Gallucci and St. John assess commercial adoption timelines across steel and cement.34:06–40:14 · The hosts pushing back 0/10 Market Structure, Procurement Power, and Supply Chains Lacey asks about startup vs legacy industry dynamics; St. John and Spector map out public procurement levers in cement, vertically integrated hydrogen developers, and legacy steel makers.40:15–44:31 · The hosts pushing back 0/10 Reasons for Optimism Across the Heavy Industry Transition The panel reflects on tangible progress over the past decade, highlighting concrete pilots, public buyer pressure on steelmakers, and groundbreaking hydrogen infrastructure.

speaking balance: gold is the hosts, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

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Sharpest disagreement ▶ 27:09 Spector rejects conventional cheap-hydrogen comparison

Spector pushes back against standard industry narratives by explaining that cheap fossil hydrogen is captive to petrochemical refineries rather than accessible to open buyers.

Hardest push from the hosts ▶ 6:19 Lacey clarifies chemical alteration vs electrification

Lacey steps in to pinpoint that proposed ethylene solutions address process thermal energy rather than core chemical feedstock composition.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 20:27 St. John breaks down calcination chemistry and SCM economics

St. John educates the room on the precise chemical emissions of calcium carbonate decomposition and the financial upside of supplementary cementitious materials outlined by the DOE.

The host holds their own ▶ 16:06 Lacey introduces Latitude Media electrolyzer findings

Lacey directly brings in his own newsroom's market research on electrolyzer supply-demand logjams to contextualize hydrogen production roadblocks.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicThe hosts as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementThe hosts pushing backWhy
Icebreaker: The Toughest Things We Have Ever Built 4100 Lacey establishes the episode theme after lighthearted banter about building treehouses and trebuchets, citing macroeconomic Rhodium Group data on industrial emissions overtaking power and transport.
Electrifying Ethylene and Cleaning Up Petrochemicals 4400 Gallucci explains ethylene as a petrochemical building block and breaks down the 90% emission footprint of steam cracking, while Lacey clarifies electrification vs chemistry changes.
Green Steel Innovations and Electrowinning Iron 4400 St. John explains electrowinning iron chemistry and modular ore processing, with Lacey probing commercial readiness and backing from Breakthrough Energy Ventures.
The Realities and Economics of Green Hydrogen 5300 Spector details green hydrogen deployment and DOE hub funding, while Lacey contributes Latitude Media's own reporting on the chicken-and-egg bottleneck in electrolyzer markets.
Decarbonizing Cement and Concrete Chemistry 3500 Gallucci and St. John deliver an in-depth breakdown of limestone calcination chemistry, supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs), and DOE Liftoff report cost curves.
Commercial Timelines: Near-Term vs. Distant Industrial Solutions 3410 Spector challenges conventional wisdom regarding green hydrogen cost competitiveness against fossil fuels, while Gallucci and St. John assess commercial adoption timelines across steel and cement.
Market Structure, Procurement Power, and Supply Chains 3500 Lacey asks about startup vs legacy industry dynamics; St. John and Spector map out public procurement levers in cement, vertically integrated hydrogen developers, and legacy steel makers.
Reasons for Optimism Across the Heavy Industry Transition 3200 The panel reflects on tangible progress over the past decade, highlighting concrete pilots, public buyer pressure on steelmakers, and groundbreaking hydrogen infrastructure.

Statements from this episode (16)

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2035
US industrial emissions will surpass power and transport by 2035
“The industrial sector is set to overtake power generation and transportation as the biggest source of planet warming emissions in the U.S. By twenty-thirty-five.”
Stephen Lacey Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 1:26
Assertion Supported
Global industry emits more CO2 than all transportation combined
“Industry around the world accounts for more carbon dioxide emissions than all forms of transportation combined, and that's largely driven by steel, cement, and chemicals.”
Stephen Lacey Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 1:36
Assertion Supported
Ethane cracking heat generates 90% of ethylene facility CO2 emissions
“And so this sort of, this process of generating heat to crack ethane accounts for 90% of the carbon dioxide emissions associated with an ethylene steam cracking facility.”
Maria Gallucci Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 6:48
Assertion Supported
The steel industry accounts for up to 9% of global carbon emissions
“So the steel industry is responsible for as much as nine percent of CO₂ emissions worldwide every year, and the majority of those emissions come from the, sort of, the blast furnaces and the basic oxygen furnaces, which heat and process coal products, fossil f…”
Maria Gallucci Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 8:25
Assertion Supported
Electra's low-temperature electrolysis pilot produces iron at over 99% purity
“This company called Electra out of Boulder, Colorado, is working on a process that it's piloted showing that it can get pretty pure iron, like, 99 point odd percent pure, out of this electrolysis process.”
Jeff St. John Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 9:44
Assertion Supported
US DOE commits $7 billion to regional hydrogen hubs
“President Biden announced these hydrogen hubs where the DOE is, is putting a total of seven billion dollars into these regional clusters of hydrogen production and use and transportation and distribution in different corners of America.”
Julian Spector Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 14:40
Assertion Supported
The US currently lacks commercial-scale green hydrogen production facilities
“We actually don't have capacity to do that in the U.S. Today. There's a lot of Fossil-based carbon-emitting hydrogen in the US today. I couldn't find any, like, commercial scale, like, real operation pumping out green hydrogen yet”
Julian Spector Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 15:34
Assertion Supported
Cement production generates 8% of global emissions, primarily from limestone calcination
“Cement and concrete are responsible for about eight percent of human-caused CO₂ emissions every year. About 40% of those emissions come from burning fossil fuels to heat the kilns. The other 60% comes from the chemical process of calcination”
Maria Gallucci Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 19:29
Insight
Green cement is commercially unviable if it delays building construction timelines
“Cement costs are about maybe two, three, four percent of an overall building cost. The cost of labor and the time it takes to build a building are a lot higher than that. You could have a much lower carbon cement, but if it takes three to five times as long to…”
Jeff St. John Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 24:08
Assertion Supported
Inflation Reduction Act hydrogen production tax credits reach $3 per kilogram
“The credits in the Inflation Reduction Act Go up to three dollars a kilogram.”
Julian Spector Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 28:02
Assertion Supported
Most fossil-based hydrogen is captive and consumed directly within petrochemical hubs
“Most of the fossil-based hydrogen isn't really getting sold out to the market anyways. It's kind of being created in these petrochemical hubs and then put right back into refining or chemicals processes.”
Julian Spector Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 29:03
Assertion Supported
Sweden's HYBRIT project successfully produces steel using 100% green hydrogen
“The hybrid project in Sweden is already making steel using a hundred percent green hydrogen. Other projects are in the works. There's about 40, a few dozen in the works.”
Maria Gallucci Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 30:33
Assertion Supported
China accounts for roughly half of all global cement production
“About half the world's global cement production takes place in China”
Jeff St. John Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 34:41
Assertion Supported
US government contracts account for roughly half of all domestic cement
“Roughly half the cement that's used in the United States, for example, is contracted by governments to build essentially roads in public works”
Jeff St. John Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 35:48
Assertion Supported
US Steel and Cleveland-Cliffs are the only remaining US blast furnace operators
“In the United States, U.S. Steel and Cleveland Cliffs are actually the only two companies that still operate blast furnace and basic oxygen furnaces, but there are a handful of other companies that operate these electric arc furnaces using scrap metal, Nucor b…”
Maria Gallucci Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 39:21
Prediction Held up
The US will have multiple industrial-scale clean hydrogen plants within three years
“It seems like we're about to cross this line from there really being no industrial-scale clean hydrogen production in the U.S. To there being a bunch in the next two, three years even.”
Julian Spector Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 40:57
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