why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Scaringe: Rivian captures 35% US market share in premium electric SUVs
“If you draw the boundary diagram around electric premium vehicles, so like premium SUVs that are over 70,000 dollars, we're by far the best-selling vehicle in that class of vehicles, so we have about 35% market share as we draw that boundary diagram”
Assertion Supported
Scaringe: LiDAR sensor costs dropped from $75,000 to $200
“Six, seven years ago a LiDAR was 20,000 dollars. 15 years ago LiDAR was 75,000 dollars. Today a LiDAR is like 200 bucks. So it's a very low cost sensor.”
Assertion Supported
Scaringe: Rivian reached positive gross margin in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025
“And so finally end of 24, beginning of 25, we started to hit positive gross margin. So, Q-four of 24, Q-one of 25, positive gross margin.”
Assertion Supported
Scaringe: Rivian, Tesla, and Waymo align on large foundation models
“I think first is I'd say there's alignment amongst Rivian, Tesla, Waymo around the use of AI to train. And so the view that you're building a large scale foundation model, multi-billion parameter model, you're building that with the data flywheel of the vehicl…”
Assertion Supported
Scaringe: Rivian's new quad-motor vehicles feature an extreme torque-vectoring 'kick steer'
“The new quad, we brought back this, we call kick steer feature, where we can use the fact that there's four motors in the quad, in the four motor version, to introduce, you know, torque vectoring to an extreme degree, where you can, like, pivot.”
Assertion Supported
Scaringe: Tesla holds 50% US EV share while EVs make up 8% of sales
“You know, the best measure of, I think the under investment in this space and the lack of highly compelling product is that there's a single company, Tesla, that still has around 50% market share in the United States. The United States is at around eight perce…”