The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Liow: Only 3% of $1B+ stocks compound at 20%+ over rolling decades
“And what I found is about 14% of securities above a billion dollars in market cap could do it. This was in the prior 26 years. And only three percent of securities could do it for 10 year rolling periods.”
Liow: 20% equity market drawdowns occur about 5% of the time
“The base rate of a 20% drawdown in markets is about five percent of time.”
Liow: US government transferred $630B in excess payments before Biden stimulus
“The government transferred six hundred and thirty billion dollars of excess payments To cover off lost wages. It covered it by an extra six hundred and thirty billion before the Biden 1.9 trillion dollar stimulus.”