The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2031
Liow in 2021: S&P 500 will struggle to exceed mid-single digit returns
“In fact, I think it's challenging to do even higher than mid-single digits this next decade.”
Yen Liow Apr 12, 2021 ▶ 49:33 Yen Liow - The Quest for the Right Tail at Aravt Global (Capital Allocators, EP.188)
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