why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Philippines, Vietnam, Bangladesh, and Mexico will gain as supply chains leave China
“Places like the Philippines, Vietnam, Bangladesh, Mexico will gain as a result of that kind of second location as they scale back in China and scale up there.”
Assertion Supported
The decline in public companies is strictly a Western phenomenon
“Again, it is a US and perhaps European phenomenon. You are still seeing lots of IPOs and new companies. Accessing public markets in China and emerging markets, and we think that's good.”
Assertion Partly supported
Institutional search for yield drives capital into private debt
“So the combination of all those factors is driving to greater allocations to privates I think given some of the high valuations pre-coronavirus, particularly private real estate debt and private debt, rather than necessarily private equity, where there was per…”
Prediction Held up
Permanent shift to online grocery will drive cold storage real estate
“Cold storage facilities as groceries go online as well. Nobody wants to touch that cold tomato or squeeze that line before they buy it, but are willing to buy it online. I think that will be a permanent shift in the convenience factor. So cold storage real est…”
Assertion Supported
Co-working models historically weather economic downturns poorly due to balance sheets
“So we were always skeptical about the ability of some of the co-working models because of their unique personal balance sheet situations to weather a downturn, and there's a rich history of co-working and flexible space providers weathering downturns badly.”
Assertion Supported
Board tenure and company valuation follow a curved, nonlinear relationship
“QMA, our quant business, did some great analysis on what is considered a linear relationship where, you know, very mature boards are considered to be less dynamic than new boards. And in reality, when you explore the valuation relationship between board length…”
Assertion Supported
PGIM manages $1.3T, earning 80% of fees from third-party clients
“So we have about 1.3 trillion in assets, largely third party. 80% of our fees come from third party clients, institutional and retail.”
Assertion Supported
Intangible assets now drive 85% of S&P 500 value
“85% of the value of the S&P 500 is now driven by intangible assets, according to some studies, up from about 20, 25% of a few decades ago.”