The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Philpot: Farmland has one-third the volatility of commercial real estate
“Agriculture real estate is so stable. It has one third of the volatility of commercial real estate. Over a long, long period.”
Brian Philpot Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 15:03 Brian Philpot – Financing Farmers at AgAmerica (Capital Allocators, EP. 296)
Assertion Partly supported
Philpot: Farmland real estate has a 97% correlation with inflation
“Has a 97% correlation with inflation.”
Brian Philpot Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 15:21 Brian Philpot – Financing Farmers at AgAmerica (Capital Allocators, EP. 296)
Assertion Partly supported
Philpot: Only sub-50-acre and 2,000-plus-acre US farms are expanding
“And there's two farm categories that are expanding and everything else is shrinking. Farms, 50 acres and smaller, that category is, is increasing, and farms, 2000 acres and more is increasing.”
Brian Philpot Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 20:56 Brian Philpot – Financing Farmers at AgAmerica (Capital Allocators, EP. 296)
Assertion Contradicted
Philpot: US has more navigable waterways than rest of world combined
“We have more navigable waterways than the world, rest of the world combined, and so we have the ability to move it around.”
Brian Philpot Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 32:40 Brian Philpot – Financing Farmers at AgAmerica (Capital Allocators, EP. 296)
Assertion Supported
Philpot: Bank share of agricultural real estate debt dropped from 40% to 30%
“15 years ago, 40% of the loans in agriculture, real estate were held by banks. We're down to about 30% now, and we continue to drop.”
Brian Philpot Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 7:51 Brian Philpot – Financing Farmers at AgAmerica (Capital Allocators, EP. 296)
Assertion Supported
Philpot: Farm Credit System co-ops hold about 50% of the agricultural loan market
“About 50% of the market are the co-ops, the farm credit system, and that stayed solid.”
Brian Philpot Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 8:05 Brian Philpot – Financing Farmers at AgAmerica (Capital Allocators, EP. 296)
Assertion Supported
Philpot: 60 to 70 US ag co-ops cannot lend outside their geographic areas
“So there are between 60 and 70 of these co-ops scattered around the U.S. Those co-ops cannot lend outside of their geographic area.”
Brian Philpot Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 8:19 Brian Philpot – Financing Farmers at AgAmerica (Capital Allocators, EP. 296)
Assertion Supported
Philpot: AgAmerica is the only nationwide agricultural mortgage REIT
“We're one of the Only lenders across the lower 48 and the only mortgage REIT in America that it's in agriculture.”
Brian Philpot Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 11:54 Brian Philpot – Financing Farmers at AgAmerica (Capital Allocators, EP. 296)
Assertion Supported
Philpot: The US lost several hundred thousand farms over the past decade
“Last 10 years, we've lost several 100,000 farms in America.”
Brian Philpot Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 20:51 Brian Philpot – Financing Farmers at AgAmerica (Capital Allocators, EP. 296)
Assertion Supported
Philpot: Institutional capital ignores the $3 trillion family-owned farm market
“97% of the farms are family-owned. There's really not a lot of institutional coverage in agriculture like in the other sectors of real estate, especially for a three trillion dollar real estate market.”
Brian Philpot Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 22:14 Brian Philpot – Financing Farmers at AgAmerica (Capital Allocators, EP. 296)
Assertion Partly supported
Philpot: US farmland acreage has dropped by about 30% since 1950
“Since 1950, we've dropped the number of acres in America in farmland by about 30%.”
Brian Philpot Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 31:47 Brian Philpot – Financing Farmers at AgAmerica (Capital Allocators, EP. 296)
Assertion Supported
Philpot: 30 million timberland acres changed hands in southeast US across 1990s-2000s
“During the nineties and early 2000, there were thirty million acres that changed hands in the southeast US.”
Brian Philpot Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 3:53 Brian Philpot – Financing Farmers at AgAmerica (Capital Allocators, EP. 296)
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