The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Lyon: Private equity falsely held 2022 valuations flat despite public market plunges
“If you looked at 2022, the S&P was down 20%. The NASDAQ was down 30%. Let's say private equity lives somewhere between those two worlds. Private equity was flat for the year.”
David Lyon Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 26:51 David Lyon – Hybrid Capital Solutions for Private Assets (EP.471)
Assertion Partly supported
SOSV was the sole VC backer of BitMEX, rivaling NASDAQ's profitability
“We were the only venture company to have backed them, and then they became profitable very quickly after exiting our program. They were as profitable as NASDAQ was for a couple of years in there.”
Sean O'Sullivan Jan 17, 2022 ▶ 40:30 Sean O'Sullivan – Start-up Development at SOSV, Venture is Eating the Investment World 3 (Capital Allocators, EP.231)
Assertion Supported
Cembalest: Elon Musk's Tesla Pay Is an Outlier Compared to Major Indices
“Last week, I did a post on Tesla, a story in pictures, which was kind of a brutal and cruel assessment of everything you're going on at Tesla, including, by the way, a chart on CEO compensation that shows how much Elon Musk gets paid for a loss-making enterpri…”
Michael Cembalest Apr 23, 2018 ▶ 56:06 Michael Cembalest – Eye on the Market (Capital Allocators, EP.49)
Assertion Supported
Ries: LTSE is a fully regulated national securities exchange, not an ATS
“We are a national securities exchange. We're in the same regulatory category as NYSE or NASDAQ. So this is on an alternative exchange or a venture exchange.”
Eric Ries Aug 26, 2019 ▶ 22:46 Eric Ries – Lean Start-Ups and the Long-Term Stock Exchange (Capital Allocators, EP.107)
Assertion Supported
Biotech underperformed tech and matched the S&P 500 over five years
“It's interesting that if you go look at the biotech industry relative or any of the small cap biotech industries relative to the NASDAQ or relative to the S&P, they've underperformed the NASDAQ, so they've underperformed tech the last four or five years. They'…”
Jordi Visser Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 1:09:32 Jordi Visser – Next Generation of Manager Allocation (Capital Allocators, EP.92)
Assertion Supported
Barth: BBR started managing money on March 1, 2000, at the NASDAQ peak
“The fact that we didn't start managing money till March one of 2000, like almost right on top of the NASDAQ high, really framed our investment approach for years to come, and I think it served us well”
Brett Barth Apr 20, 2017 ▶ 23:34 Brett Barth – Asset Allocation for Families (Capital Allocators, EP.03)
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