The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Higher corporate ESG disclosure leads to greater rating agency dispersion
“His name is George Seraphim, and he actually just put out research that demonstrated the more a company discloses about ESG factors, the greater the dispersion in ratings from folks like MSCI and Sustainalytics.”
Lauren Taylor Wolfe Jul 2, 2020 ▶ 30:10 Sustainable Investing 8: Lauren Taylor Wolfe – Activist Perspective (Capital Allocators, EP.146)
Insight
Long-tenured CEOs with poor governance scores often create destructive personal fiefdoms
“We look for companies where the CEO has been in the seat, 15 years or longer, and where NSCI or Sustainalytics gives them a bottom quartile score on governance. And we've just seen over and over in our career that And sometimes the CEO is there because they're…”
Tony Davis Jun 29, 2020 ▶ 43:40 Sustainable Investing 7: Tony Davis – Hedge Fund Perspective at Inherent Group (Capital Allocators, EP.145)
Prediction Held up
Global Capital Allocations to Onshore Chinese Equities Will Inevitably Increase
“Whether it be passive money or active money, over the next several years, there will be increasing allocations to Chinese onshore equities, and that's not going to go away.”
James Aitken Jun 25, 2018 ▶ 58:19 James Aitken – Macro Strategist Extraordinaire (Capital Allocators, EP.58)
Assertion Contradicted
Korea, China, India, and Brazil make up over 70% of MSCI EM
“Now, if you look at equities, the MSCI global, Korea, China, India, Brazil, make up 70 plus percent of that index. So you are actually buying a very concentrated exposure, not a very diversified exposure.”
Nick Rohatyn Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 24:19 Nick Rohatyn – Emerging Markets Multi-Asset Investing at TRG (EP.482)
Assertion Supported
Brazilian Stock Indices Are Dominated by Commodities and Legacy Banks
“So, when you look at the Ibovespa or the MSCI, again, commodities are the majority of the index plus large banks.”
Florian Bartunek Jan 20, 2022 ▶ 15:53 Florian Bartunek – Equities in Brazil at Constellation Asset Management (Manager Meetings, EP.27)
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