The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Future Fund held 80% of its portfolio in cash when Lehman collapsed
“Fortuitously, and through some good decisions made by the people who were here before me, we were sitting with about 80% in cash when layman's went broke.”
Raphael Arndt Sep 1, 2025 ▶ 52:50 CIO Greatest Hits: Sovereign Wealth Funds – Raphael Arndt (Australia Future Fund)
Assertion Partly supported
Future Fund Held Approximately 80% in Cash When Lehman Brothers Collapsed
“Fortuitously, and through some good decisions made by the people who were here before me, we were sitting with about 80% in cash when layman's went broke.”
Raphael Arndt Sep 24, 2018 ▶ 53:33 Raphael Arndt – Australia's Sovereign Wealth Fund CIO (Capital Allocators, Episode 70)
Assertion Partly supported
Friedman: Fannie and Freddie represented two-thirds of US GDP during 2008 crisis
“Fannie and Freddie were 10 times bigger than Lehman, yet it didn't have any knockoff impact. It was two-thirds of the GDP of the entire United States, Fannie and Freddie at the time.”
Manny Friedman Jul 23, 2018 ▶ 18:01 Manny Friedman – Non-Linear Financial Systems (Capital Allocators, EP.61)
Assertion Partly supported
US Search burned $70 million in nine months after its IPO
“Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns took them public. They raised about seventy million dollars and they burned through it in about nine months.”
Rick Heitzman Nov 13, 2023 ▶ 13:45 Rick Heitzmann – New York Venture Investing at FirstMark Capital (EP.350)
Assertion Supported
Rees: Lehman Took 20% Minority Stakes in GLG and D.E. Shaw
“Every time we did one of these minority stakes in hedge funds, we started with GLG and then we did a firm Called Marble Bar and Osprey and D.E. Shaw. We were doing a lot of work in a lot of other areas, and these 20% stakes in hedge funds were paying the bills…”
Michael Rees Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 10:15 Michael Rees – Inside GP Stakes at Dyal Capital (Capital Allocators, EP.278)
Assertion Supported
Chabran: Lehman Brothers Held Single-A Rating Days Before Bankruptcy
“On Friday, September the 13th, 2008, Lehman Brothers were singly raided. On the Monday morning, it had defaulted, and that was the catalyst to, you know, a much wider situation.”
Mathieu Chabran Oct 12, 2020 ▶ 51:52 Mathieu Chabran – Good Deals Have No Wheels at Tikehau Capital (First Meeting, EP.23)
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