The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
High-Yield ETFs Will Suffer Severe Price Gapping During Massive Sell-Offs
“When you start having that problem, you'll just see gapping. It will eventually happen. It'll work itself through. The ETF will then get smarter and better the next time around, but you'll have to live through that,”
Peter Troob Jul 2, 2018 ▶ 29:39 Peter Troob – Monkey Business in High Yield (Capital Allocators, EP.59)
Opinion
High-Yield ETFs Act as Marginal Price Setters in Credit Markets
“I mean, they are the proverbial tail that wags the dog. They are the marginal price setter. Every day, every quarter, every month, you see it. Flows are in, flows are out.”
Peter Troob Jul 2, 2018 ▶ 29:01 Peter Troob – Monkey Business in High Yield (Capital Allocators, EP.59)
Assertion Partly supported
Kraus: High-yield ETFs hold 100 bonds versus 1,000 in index
“For example, in high yield, the high yield ETF owns a hundred bonds. The actual index owns over a thousand, and so replicating the index is almost impossible.”
Peter Kraus Feb 3, 2020 ▶ 36:09 Peter Kraus - Widening the Aperture on Alpha (First Meeting, EP.14)
Assertion Supported
Blitz: Many bonds inside liquid high-yield ETFs rarely trade daily
“You know, even in the high yield ETF, a large percentage of the high yield bonds comprising that ETF don't even trade Hardly on a day-by-day basis, even though the ETF itself is very, very liquid.”
Adam Blitz Jul 17, 2017 ▶ 54:45 Adam Blitz – Inside Hedge Fund Allocation (Capital Allocators, EP.17)
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