The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Inker: Historical crises dilute diversified equity portfolios by at most 5%
“Historically, apart from events of, frankly, revolution and regime change, we haven't seen profoundly dilutive events. We've seen things where you got diluted A few percent, maybe as much as five percent.”
Ben Inker Mar 30, 2020 ▶ 1:10:41 Ben Inker – Value Investing at GMO (First Meeting, EP.17)
Assertion Supported
Inker: Value historically beats market by 1% despite 3% earnings undergrowth
“Historically, they traded at a 25% discount, and they undergrew by three percent a year, and it turns out that a 25% discount and three percent a year undergrowth allows you to outperform by a point a year.”
Ben Inker Mar 30, 2020 ▶ 49:28 Ben Inker – Value Investing at GMO (First Meeting, EP.17)
Assertion Supported
Inker: Pre-2020 value investing drought mirrors the 1994-1999 era
“2000 to 2002 was a wonderful period for value. The similarity to the 1994 to 1999 period is this has been another dreadful period for value as a strategy. We see that kind of on a individual stock level. It's also been a lousy period for valuation driven inves…”
Ben Inker Mar 30, 2020 ▶ 25:34 Ben Inker – Value Investing at GMO (First Meeting, EP.17)
Assertion Supported
Grantham: GMO never featured inflation as a major risk in 20 years
“So I am actually very proud to say that I wrote quarterly letters for 20 years, and I never featured inflation as a major risk.”
Jeremy Grantham Jul 8, 2021 ▶ 55:13 Jeremy Grantham – GMO (Manager Meetings, EP.01)
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