The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Sternlicht: Lordstown Motors committed fraud and lied about vehicle orders
“They front run the trade. They lied about their orders. They made up the car. It was a fraud. The model they showed the street was not active.”
Sullivan: Parachuting former Fortune 500 CEOs into small buyout boards fails
“I think one thing we learned pretty quickly was not straightforward to bring in a guy who'd been a successful CEO at a big Fortune 500 company and have him parachute into an LBO situation as a board member or operating partner. You had to find people with the …”
Tesla produces equal or more Scope 1 and 2 emissions than GM
“On scope one and two, for example, Tesla has the same or even more emissions per unit volume than do GM and Ford.”
Baker: Long growth and short value pairs create levered factor risk
“You can't be long a stock like GM and be short Tesla. From a quantitative perspective, that makes no sense. If you're long growth and short value, that's equally painful. If you're long value and short growth, that means you're just levered value. If you're lo…”
Lewinsohn: Corporate CEOs have inherent long bias that limits forecasting objectivity
“If I want to know maybe about auto technology, obviously she's the one to talk to, but she's long. That's the only way. And that creates a bias because if you own a company, if you manage a company, you think it's going to do well.”
Lux Capital passed on Cruise at $80M pre before GM's $1B acquisition
“The story which I tell publicly is about cruise automation. We offered them a twenty million dollar financing at a forty million pre, and they wanted eighty million pre money, and we thought that was absurd and too high. In the course of diligence, we introduc…”
Grantham: Pre-revenue QuantumScape was briefly worth more than General Motors in 2020
“It exploded to a 131 by the end of twenty-twenty. For a second was worth more than General Motors. Years away from having any sales.”
Mauboussin: GM and GE remain top 20 lifetime wealth creators
“For example, you think about the leaderboard, the top 20 greatest wealth creators of all times, and it would include some suspects you would guess, which would be Apple and Microsoft and Amazon and Alphabet and so forth, but it also includes things you might n…”