The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Baker: Evaluated analysts on clear factual arguments, not hit rate
“I didn't care whether the analysts at Fidelity got their stocks right or wrong. It was utterly immaterial to how I evaluated analysts. There's an analyst, he consistently had some of the worst stock picking metrics in the department. But I made a vast amount o…”
Rubenstein: Carlyle pioneered the multi-product platform model in private equity
“If Carlisle was innovative in anything, it was probably the idea that we would try to create a fidelity or a T. Rowe price of private equity, which is to say, We wouldn't have one buyout fund every four years. We'd have a buyout fund, and then after we raised …”
Baker: Fidelity led three Roku rounds when VCs feared Big Tech
“There's this company, Roku, no VCs would fund it, because every venture capitalist was worried about competition from Amazon, Google, and Apple. I was like, well, I'm really familiar with those companies. Competing with Roku, it is not on their top 50 list of …”
Most UHNW investors cannot name three alternative asset providers
“I'll call out a Bain survey from twenty-twenty-two. Bain and company asked 418 ultra high net worth individuals. Name three firms that come to mind when you think of alternative assets and who are the providers. First answer, the biggest answer in the bubble c…”
Mutual Funds Entered Late-Stage Venture Because Micro-Cap Public IPOs Disappeared
“So if your whole micro-cap public market has gone, where are you going to go for emerging growth companies? So it makes perfect sense for Fidelity and T. Rowe and all these guys to come in.”
Daniel: Major asset managers had zero energy stocks in top 50 holdings
“We took all the large asset management complexes. I think Wellington. Wellington, Fidelity, Neuberger, you name, Capri, you name them, and say, okay, let's figure out where their largest energy exposure is and what number it is in their portfolio. They're taki…”
Forman: Brokerages capture all securities lending yield from retail investors
“If you own stocks on your Fidelity or Schwab account, you are earning Zero percent on them if you're a retail investor. And on the back end, to the extent people are shorting an asset that you own, Fidelity, Schwab, whoever your brokerage is, is making that sp…”
Baker: Investment success requires a philosophy matching your emotional makeup
“A lot of being successful as an investor is finding an investments philosophy. That fits your own emotional makeup such that you can be rational when you are wrong.”
Baker: Fidelity invested privately in Facebook in 2010
“I reengaged with venture right around the time Allen and company started bringing growth stage equity opportunities to big mutual fund managers, which is so important to own Facebook privately in 2010.”
MacDonald: Fidelity's Johnson family office prioritizes direct investing over fund managers
“The Johnson family, as entrepreneurs, lean more directly, as opposed to investing through managers.”
Sacerdote: Peter Lynch Timed Fidelity Analysts' Stock Pitches with Egg Timer
“Peter Lynch, he wasn't active when I was there, but he would meet with the analysts individually three or four times a year, and he always had his thing, the egg timer, where you go into his office and he turns the egg timer.”
Mogelof: Six asset managers control over 85% of target date fund assets
“There are really six managers that dominate the market, probably have 85 plus percent of the assets. That's Vanguard, Fidelity, BlackRock, State Street, T. Rowe, and Capital Group.”
Sector Rotation Trains Research Analysts to Become Better Portfolio Managers
“That's sort of by design. It helps you to see a lot of different types of companies across different sectors. It trains you to become a better portfolio manager.”