The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Tian: Alibaba's asset-light business model is an "original sin."
“That's exactly the way that Alibaba did the business, and I actually, I think it's potentially an original sin. It's the way that eBay thought, and it didn't really work out that well for them versus, let's say, an Amazon.”
Mike Tian Sep 6, 2021 ▶ 26:08 Mike Tian – Moat Trajectories and Investing in China at WCM (Capital Allocators, EP.212)
Insight
Dorsey: Businesses With Narrower Moats but Long Reinvestment Runways Make Better Investments
“Marketplaces have great network effects. The trouble is, and you've seen this with eBay, you see this with some of the European online listings companies, once you get that market, now what? It's a great mode, but if you don't have anywhere to put the cash, Ma…”
Pat Dorsey Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 35:26 Moat Investing Nuances – Pat Dorsey (EP.509)
Assertion Contradicted
Housenbold: Made eBay Google's first advertising customer in the world
“In that role, I also became Google's first customer in the world. Having ran AltaVista and competed with them, they were starting to monetize their search, and I became the first customer, and that really changed the trajectory for both Google and for eBay”
Jeff Hausenbold Mar 29, 2021 ▶ 11:03 Jeff Housenbold – Inside Softbank Vision Fund (Capital Allocators, EP.186)
What-if
Trigg: Buying Dell and Yahoo over Apple and Google damaged WCM
“We were buying Dell instead of Apple, eBay instead of Amazon, Yahoo instead of Google. I mean, those three trades alone would have had, had they been done differently, would have had dramatically different results for that domestic product.”
Mike Trigg Nov 2, 2020 ▶ 20:15 Mike Trigg – Defying the Fade at WCM (Capital Allocators, EP.162)
Insight
Grinda: Marketplaces solve matching problems rather than capital-intensive supply chains
“The problem is if you want to build Amazon, you need billions of dollars of capital. You need supply chain management skills. If you want to build E-Trade, you need a banking license. When you build a marketplace like eBay, you have a unique set of problems of…”
Fabrice Grinda Jan 24, 2022 ▶ 12:01 Fabrice Grinda – Canvassing Seed Stage Marketplaces at FJ Labs, Venture is Eating the Investment World 4 (Capital Allocators, EP.232)
Assertion Contradicted
Ginns: PayPal's Spinoff Filing Was the First SEC Filing Mentioning Bitcoin
“I remember the first SEC filing that mentioned Bitcoin and kind of feeling a level of validation, a level of Excitement around this coming into the, just the first fold of mainstream. And it was the S one where PayPal spun out of eBay.”
Seth Ginns Mar 15, 2021 ▶ 15:31 Crypto for Institutions 3: Seth Ginns – Investing Beyond Bitcoin (Capital Allocators, EP.182)
Disclosure
Ayer ran a spelling arbitrage strategy on early eBay ticket listings
“I remember when eBay first came out, I had like a spelling arbitrage model going where I'd buy misspelled tickets and resell them with the proper spelling.”
Sanjay Ayer Feb 5, 2024 ▶ 7:09 Sanjay Ayer – Think Different and Get Better at WCM (EP.366)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Singh funded his college education with a high school eBay business
“By the end of high school, my brother had bought a car right when he turned 16. He had a car delivered in our driveway. We both paid for college with it.”
Savneet Singh Nov 1, 2021 ▶ 7:56 Savneet Singh – The Operator/Investor whose Software is Feeding the World (Capital Allocators, EP.220)
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