Prediction Open AI assessment confidence: 85% certainty 3/5 debate potential 3/5

Bozman: Crypto venture fund returns will drop 5x to 20x this cycle

Regan Bozman · Regan Bozman – Defensible Moats in Crypto at Lattice Capital (Manager Meetings, 34) · Jul 7, 2022 · at 39:44

Regan Bozman, General Partner at Lattice Capital, discusses institutional crypto fund performance and moderating LP return expectations during market cycles.

0:00 / 0:34exact quote · 35.0s
720p mp4 · rendered on demand · StarZero watermark
“I tend to think if your framework for return expectations is based on funds in that last cycle, I think a lot of LPs are going to be disappointed. And I think there's a few things that drive that one is. Everything has been repriced five, 10, 20 X upwards since that cycle. There were DeFi seed rounds that got done at like five million dollar network valuations in 2019. Today, that would be 50 and maybe higher. So just definitionally, right? Like returns are going to be say five to 20 X lower than they would be for last cycle.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

More from Regan Bozman

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bozman: Failed Web2 marketplace models will succeed using programmable equity tokens
“This is kind of the first time a marketplace has been able to use equity. In this case, it's programmable equity. It's a token to incentivize supply side growth. And so I think there's a lot of marketplaces that haven't worked in a traditional paradigm that wi…”
Regan Bozman Jul 7, 2022 ▶ 24:18 Regan Bozman – Defensible Moats in Crypto at Lattice Capital (Manager Meetings, 34)
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2027
Bozman: Compound's long-term market capitalization will significantly exceed $1.5 billion
“Compound right now, you can buy for about one or 1.5 billion on the open market. Long run, it's probably a lot more than that.”
Regan Bozman Jul 7, 2022 ▶ 43:11 Regan Bozman – Defensible Moats in Crypto at Lattice Capital (Manager Meetings, 34)
Insight
Bozman: Incremental open-source improvements lack defensibility against incumbent DeFi protocols
“And so generally our view is kind of, okay, well, like if this actually is an improvement, compound could just do this.”
Regan Bozman Jul 7, 2022 ▶ 22:08 Regan Bozman – Defensible Moats in Crypto at Lattice Capital (Manager Meetings, 34)
Opinion
Bozman: Much of DeFi has been Ponzi games offering unsustainable yields
“I think a lot of DeFi has kind of been these like Ponzi games where, you know, you have these really high yields and this tends to be kind of what gets press attention.”
Regan Bozman Jul 7, 2022 ▶ 32:00 Regan Bozman – Defensible Moats in Crypto at Lattice Capital (Manager Meetings, 34)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bozman: Stablecoin yield markets will be 1,000x larger than degen DeFi
“Hey, you can earn 15 to 20% yield on your dollar-denominated stablecoins. That's not gonna get retail crypto traders jumping out of bed, but, like, long term, I think that market is a thousand X bigger than it is for eGens.”
Regan Bozman Jul 7, 2022 ▶ 35:49 Regan Bozman – Defensible Moats in Crypto at Lattice Capital (Manager Meetings, 34)
Opinion
Bozman: Mega crypto funds have priced themselves out of early-stage deals
“I think now, maybe it wasn't obvious when we raised the first fund, but structurally, every fund has kind of gotten really big and almost priced themselves out of the earliest stages of the market.”
Regan Bozman Jul 7, 2022 ▶ 37:46 Regan Bozman – Defensible Moats in Crypto at Lattice Capital (Manager Meetings, 34)
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 700 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.