Seawolf Capital co-founder Porter Collins explains what is required for the commercial banking system to recover from structural deposit funding headwinds.
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“Nothing's going to change until the Fed cuts rates, 400 basis points.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
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More from Porter Collins
Opinion
Collins: Citadel's pod shop model is risk management, not actual investing
“No one has done it better than Ken Griffin. But one of the things that really struck me was that it's not investing. There's actually no part of investing to it. It's managing a bunch of tickers within a risk framework.”
Porter CollinsJul 3, 2023▶ 22:14Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
“Because we can't beat the machines. You cannot beat the Citadel analysts. There's 50 of them all looking at the same name and back book behind it, and it's hard to beat that.”
Porter CollinsJul 3, 2023▶ 33:55Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
AssertionNot checkable as stated
Collins: FrontPoint risk managers opposed entering the famous subprime short trade
“The extent of the risk management that occurred at Frontpoint, there were two risk managers, lovely guys, but the only thing that they really pushed back against us was on getting in the subprime trade because they said, well, you'll never get out of this thin…”
Porter CollinsJul 3, 2023▶ 13:24Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
Insight
Collins: Sophisticated analytical investing does not reconcile with QE-flooded markets
“Being a sophisticated, analytical investor to markets flooded with QE doesn't quite reconcile.”
Porter CollinsJul 3, 2023▶ 19:26Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
Disclosure
Collins: Seawolf Historically Shorted Banks for 15 to 20 Years
“And as long as I've been an investor and doing banks, I've hated banks, and there's been a lot of bad management teams, and so we historically, for 1520 years, had been short banks along other parts of financial services.”
Porter CollinsJul 3, 2023▶ 27:50Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
Disclosure
Collins: Seawolf shorted First Republic, SVB, Signature, and Silvergate to zero
“We saw pretty clearly what was happening at First Republic and Silicon Valley and Signature and Silvergate, and we were short all those essentially to zero.”
Porter CollinsJul 3, 2023▶ 38:06Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel - Big Shorts and Big Longs (Capital Allocators, EP.325)
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