Assertion Supported AI assessment confidence: 95% certainty 3/5 debate potential 1/5

Batnick: T-Bills Had a 50-Year Period of Negative Real Returns

Michael Batnick · Michael Batnick - The Best Investors and Their Biggest Mistakes (Capital Allocators, EP.71) · Oct 8, 2018 · at 22:51

Michael Batnick, Director of Research at Ritholtz Wealth Management, notes the historical inflation risk of holding cash equivalents.

0:00 / 0:06exact quote · 6.8s
720p mp4 · rendered on demand · StarZero watermark
“And if you don't like it by T-bills and if you know, and even that comes with a lot of pain, I think they went 50 years with negative real returns.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

More from Michael Batnick

Opinion
Batnick: Predatory life insurance sales harm clients more than bad stock picks
“If you're selling somebody, you know, a shitty stock or mutual fund, whatever, they're giving you know, 10 grand. And sure, that sucks to lose that, but when you're selling life insurance policies to somebody, and you're asking for giant commissions premiums, …”
Michael Batnick Oct 8, 2018 ▶ 10:33 Michael Batnick - The Best Investors and Their Biggest Mistakes (Capital Allocators, EP.71)
Insight
Batnick: Even the best analysts face limits with value investing
“You could be the best business analyst in the world, and you might have a great long-term track record and things might be okay, but there are limits to value investing, obviously.”
Michael Batnick Oct 8, 2018 ▶ 13:02 Michael Batnick - The Best Investors and Their Biggest Mistakes (Capital Allocators, EP.71)
Insight
Investment backtests are bullshit because nobody publishes the failing ones
“Because when you show, you know, the back tests, which I think are, you know, back tests are bullshit. This looks amazing, of course. We're not, nobody's going to implement a strategy with a bad back test.”
Michael Batnick Oct 8, 2018 ▶ 27:01 Michael Batnick - The Best Investors and Their Biggest Mistakes (Capital Allocators, EP.71)
Insight
Batnick: Momentum and Trend-Following Can Never Be Arbitraged Away
“Rising prices attract buyers and falling prices attract sellers. And it is literally that simple. And I don't care how many computers or geniuses get involved. That alone can never be arbed away.”
Michael Batnick Oct 8, 2018 ▶ 27:46 Michael Batnick - The Best Investors and Their Biggest Mistakes (Capital Allocators, EP.71)
Assertion Supported
Batnick: Jack Bogle Once Started an Unsuccessful Technical Analysis Fund
“It was in, ah, maybe Clash of the Culture is one of his books, where he spoke about, he started a fund based on technical analysis, and obviously, ah, it didn't do so well.”
Michael Batnick Oct 8, 2018 ▶ 17:06 Michael Batnick - The Best Investors and Their Biggest Mistakes (Capital Allocators, EP.71)
Insight
Batnick: Legendary investment mistakes stem from emotion, not valuation errors
“But one common theme that we all make mistakes on is the emotional side. Like none of these mistakes were because somebody used too aggressive of a growth assumption or an inappropriate discount rate or didn't understand the business. It was always like either…”
Michael Batnick Oct 8, 2018 ▶ 19:45 Michael Batnick - The Best Investors and Their Biggest Mistakes (Capital Allocators, EP.71)
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 700 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.