Manny Friedman, co-founder and CEO of EJF Capital, discusses market tail risks and explains why non-linear, unpredictable geopolitical and macro shocks are what consistently blindside markets.
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“To me the biggest risk of the financial system is that gigantic macro unknown, and therefore it's an unknown, and we don't even know what it is, and so that is always what fools everybody, and it's that, that massive non-linear effect that takes place.”
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More from Manny Friedman
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Friedman: Tax incentives will force all US startups into Opportunity Zones
“It's going to encourage every single business that's going to start up United States. It's going to force it for tax reasons, for economic reasons, to be in an opportunity zone.”
Manny FriedmanMar 18, 2019▶ 10:15Manny Friedman – EJF on Economic Opportunity Zones (EP.91)
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Friedman: The Community Reinvestment Act has largely been a failure
“The truth is, it's been a failure to a great extent, because there's so much paperwork, it's so artificial at times, that you make non-economic investments, and the money disappears, and that gets people upset, gets everyone upset.”
Manny FriedmanMar 18, 2019▶ 18:58Manny Friedman – EJF on Economic Opportunity Zones (EP.91)
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Friedman advises shorting Silicon Valley and selling Palo Alto real estate
“In fact, I would short Silicon Valley right now. If you have real estate in Palo Alto, you should be selling it, because if you're in Silicon Valley, you're, Except for a small place in Silicon Valley, which is an opportunity zone, those businesses are all goi…”
Manny FriedmanMar 18, 2019▶ 39:19Manny Friedman – EJF on Economic Opportunity Zones (EP.91)
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Friedman: Active managers will profit massively when indexation hits 95%
“I'm waiting for the day when the key is to have staying power to last, is when, you know, the machines or the indexes are 95% of the market. Then you'll make money hand over”
Friedman: Opportunity Zones will attract over $1 trillion in capital
“Right now it's probably seven, eight trillion dollars, but it's growing in another two and a half trillion dollars every year, and so that over a period of time, we believe at least a trillion dollars of capital is going to flow from one area, one geography, t…”
Manny FriedmanMar 18, 2019▶ 8:11Manny Friedman – EJF on Economic Opportunity Zones (EP.91)
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Friedman: Opportunity Zones Will Negatively Impact Traditional Real Estate Markets
“It's going to have a negative impact on a lot of real estate that's in more traditional areas.”
Manny FriedmanMar 18, 2019▶ 30:30Manny Friedman – EJF on Economic Opportunity Zones (EP.91)
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