Opinion
Physical climate risk is probably unpriced across capital markets
“If it's not priced into municipal bonds, which are place-based, have a long duration to then relatively well traded, then it's probably not priced everywhere.”
Opinion
Sustainable investment lenses yield insights to beat benchmarks
“What that means is that by looking through a sustainable investment lens, we think that we can add more value. We think this is a unique perspective that leads to differentiated insights. And so therefore it's non-concessionary and we can beat benchmarks by do…”
Prediction Held up
Third-party ESG ratings will not converge like credit ratings
“And I think that that will remain over time. People sometimes wonder if they'll converge like the credit rating agencies have converged, but I don't think that's the case because they're fundamentally often measuring different things or placing emphasis on thi…”
Assertion Supported
Physical climate risk is locked in for the next 10 to 15 years
“No matter Which of those two paths that we're on or any of the paths in between the physical manifestations of climate risk over the next 10 to 15 years will be the same.”
Insight
Portfolios can cut carbon 20-30% for 50 bps tracking risk
“You start to find that by making small changes, you can reduce your carbon footprint by 20 or 30% with a 50 basis point change in tracking risk. So it seems like a relatively small change in tracking risk or volatility versus some benchmark for a relatively bi…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mainstream asset owners are increasingly willing to divest from oil and gas
“I've just noticed, and I would say maybe in the last three or four months, more of a willingness for mainstream asset owners to consider the case of divestment over some period of time from the oil and gas industry in particular, and that's the change too, and…”
Insight
Overlaying third-party ESG scores without fundamental integration fails long-term
“And the reason I think that's problematic is it's not intrinsic to the investment thesis to the investor himself or herself. And I just think that that whole process makes it less sustainable over time and less likely to generate good outcomes of any type over…”
Opinion
Cromwell: Integrating ESG data is increasingly recognized as a fiduciary duty
“This idea of embracing this information as a part of your fiduciary duty, not leaving it out of your investor toolkit, Is really, I think, coming to the fore across all of those.”
Opinion
Cromwell: The US is a laggard in sustainable investing adoption
“I put the U S as a laggard in this category with a lot of evolution over the last year and a lot of momentum over the last year and this big inflection point.”
Insight
Cromwell: Exclusionary screening causes decision paralysis for asset owners
“So this concept of exclusions was a little bit limiting in terms of the number of people and the types of investors who could get involved because obviously many investors, asset owners, have a wide variety of beneficiaries that have had different experiences …”
Insight
Data gaps in sustainable investing create exploitable inefficiencies
“And in many cases, because sustainable investment is rapidly evolving and changing and misunderstood, and the definitions aren't well known, and the data isn't great, we think that there's actually a lot of inefficiencies created in this rapid change that you …”
Assertion Supported
High active share funds with long holding periods significantly outperformed
“And what they found was those funds from 1994 that had high active share. They were very different from the benchmark and they had high fund duration. They had long holding periods. They significantly outperformed.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cromwell: Public markets lack a predefined universe of impact securities
“There's not a universe that's predefined of impact stocks that you can choose from or impact bonds that you can choose from. You have to identify those yourself. And the act of doing that means that you're looking at these companies in a different way than the…”
Opinion
Cromwell: Labeled green bond universe is limited and misses unlabeled impact debt
“On the bond side, there's actually companies who are issuing green bonds, or in some cases, impact bonds, but in that universe to be pretty limited and of varying quality. And it doesn't really acknowledge some of the municipal securities that Would qualify as…”
Disclosure
Wellington operates without a CIO across 50-plus investment boutiques
“And importantly to our business model, we have this orientation of no CIO, which means we don't have a single decision maker that everyone is feeding the insights to. Instead, we have this concept of having a community of investment boutiques where we have 50 …”
Insight
Cromwell: Combining equity, credit, and ESG perspectives breaks scripted corporate roadshows
“Adding in this kind of differentiated perspective, ESG and credit and equity all at the same time, you just get to more of a dialogue. It's not a gotcha. It's just really trying to understand the company more holistically. And so we think there's a lot of powe…”
Insight
EU regulation pressures companies by mandating ESG for asset owners
“If we target the asset owners, if we regulate the asset owners, and we say, you have to consider ESG consideration, As part of your fiduciary duty or some version of that, then the asset owners push the asset managers and the asset managers push the companies …”
Disclosure
Cromwell: Wellington partnered with Woods Hole on overlooked physical climate risks
“And so when we looked out, we saw a lot of people were focused on transition risk, which is incredibly important. And not very many people were focused on physical risk, and so we decided to spend a lot of time, attention, resources, partnering with a science …”
Insight
Cromwell: A deep knowledge gap separates climate scientists from capital markets
“You've got climate scientists who are analytically rigorous and so thoughtful, but know very little about capital markets. And then investors who know a lot about capital markets and very little about RCP scenarios or climate science.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Cromwell: Houston will see two extra months of extreme heat annually by 2029
“Houston will have two additional months of extreme heat days unfolding annually in the 2020 to 20 29 period.”
Insight
Physical climate risk is inherently hard to integrate into quant strategies
“Systematic investors are inherently empiricist. And so they're looking for evidence in backward looking data of value creation. Now, trying to apply physical climate risk and look for historical evidence of physical climate risk generating or attracting value …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cromwell: Sustainable investing regulation leads in Europe, Australia, and Canada over US
“Europe is very active and hard to came up with, I will say, and some of it is by country, and some of it is at the EU level, and we see similar activity in Australia, for example, and in Canada, less so in the US.”
Insight
Nordics are innovators and Canada, Australia are early majority in ESG
“So in that innovator category, you really do see the Nordics and the Dutch, and then the early adopters, you see Europe and UK, and then early majority, you see Canada and Australia, which is really interesting, given, given their economies and the real asset …”
Disclosure
Wellington conducted 3,100 management meetings in early COVID lockdowns
“When I touched base with them, I learned that we did 3100 meetings with company management teams during the first nine weeks of quarantine, which was about mid-March in Boston.”