Bill Orem

Partner, Capricorn Investment Group · 1 appearance on the record.

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investor

Bill Orum is a Partner and Investment Committee Member at Capricorn Investment Group. He focuses on mission-aligned asset allocation, sustainable investing, clean technology, and climate solutions.

28statements → 10claims → 3claims resolved → 100%fully supported → 3.61/5average certainty → 1.96/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated → 2said about them ↓

3 supported 0 partly supported 0 contradicted 7 not checkable as stated how the 10 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

3 predictions · 7 assertions · 5 opinions · 4 insights · 9 disclosures · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 10 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 3 are resolved, and 7 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Bill argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Orum: 1.5°C climate goal is impossible without offsets and carbon sinks
“So no one that looks at the carbon challenge and the evolution of how do you keep within the Paris agreement one and a half degree framework sees a pathway without using offsets and carbon sinks.”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 22:00 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
100% certainty 3
100% certainty 4
100% certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Bill Orem on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Bill Orem said on Capital Allocators that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Insight
Orum: 80% of climate decarbonization falls between divestment and venture solutions
“So divestment and climate solutions, in my view, deal with the two pillars, but about 80% are going to fall somewhere in between. How do you decarbonize a heavy industry? How do you decarbonize buildings and the built environment? Obviously transportation. And…”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 17:27 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Orum: Tesla accelerated legacy automakers' EV plans by 10 to 20 years
“And then on top of that, there is what Tesla did in the OEM industry overall, which is it effectively brought forward The plans of all the other large automakers by likely 10 or 20 years.”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 30:42 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Insight
Orum: Standard 2-and-20 fees deter scaling capital in renewable infrastructure
“The typical fee load applied to that activity is a real deterrent to crowding in large pools of capital. They aren't assets that have the optionality that can really absorb a two in 20 or a one in 20 fee load.”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 31:50 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Assertion Supported
Orum: 1.5°C climate goal is impossible without offsets and carbon sinks
“So no one that looks at the carbon challenge and the evolution of how do you keep within the Paris agreement one and a half degree framework sees a pathway without using offsets and carbon sinks.”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 22:00 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Insight
Orum: Sustainable investing is meaningless unless it influences other asset owners
“In the scheme of things, the truth is it doesn't matter because the scale of capital required is so great that unless you're being influential in either influencing or enabling other asset owners to invest in that way, then you're probably not fulfilling the m…”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 24:45 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Opinion
Orum: ESG industry deserves cynicism as global emissions rise alongside ESG assets
“I think the ESG industry and complex deserves to be criticized, and one should have some cynicism about it. There's this wonderful chart showing ESG assets going up into the right, and then global emissions going up into the right, and so you do have to ask, w…”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 48:27 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Orum: US climate policy competition will accelerate global deployment but cost more
“If you start to force the level of competition that I think some of the US policy envisions, you will likely see an acceleration across the global landscape, which is interesting. It's counterintuitive. It'll definitely cost more money, by the way.”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 55:10 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Opinion
Orum: ESG and impact funds undermine their mission with egregious fee loads
“I think the impact space and ESG has done itself a disservice in how it prices its product. So you have these people that are trying to really have exceptional impact, and then they show up to talk to us and their fee load is egregious. And they don't quite un…”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 56:53 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Orum: Generation Proved Sustainability Integrations Enhance Risk-Adjusted Returns
“Over time, firms like Generation proved out or illustrated that you could introduce and integrate sustainability and these broader frameworks into an investment process, and it could be additive to risk adjusted returns.”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 12:20 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Disclosure
Orum: Capricorn Allocates 60% to 70% to Climate Strategies
“About 60 to 70% of our portfolio is oriented towards strategies addressing climate change. About 20% is oriented towards financial inclusion and seeking different ways to get capital to undercapitalize entrepreneurs, businesses, segments of the economy, commun…”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 14:15 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Opinion
Orum: Early 2000s renewable infrastructure earned very high risk-adjusted returns
“And in our view, those type of opportunities were really mispriced for the risk. It was a new asset class. And I think you were able to do that type of development and earn very high rates of return relative to the risk.”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 16:47 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Disclosure
Orum: Capricorn's Early Mistake Was Not Committing Aggressively to Climate
“And I think early on, we probably weren't as aggressive in going more strongly towards climate and impact and maybe keeping a leg in some of the more traditional segments of the economy.”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 18:16 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Disclosure
Orum: Capricorn Rarely Backs Inexperienced Managers in Climate Seeding
“Very rarely are we dealing with a true emerging manager, if you will. More often than not, I think what's really exciting about what's happening in the world today is you have people with really strong technical skills and investment experience, and they're ma…”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 28:24 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Opinion
Orum: Public Utility Investing Offers Strong Climate Impact and Return Potential
“Utilities, I think, is a significant part of global emissions, clearly, but within the public markets in particular, it's probably one of the more interesting ways to express climate advocacy and engagement in that it's such a big part of emissions, and I thin…”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 38:15 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Orum: Transitioning Utilities Will Be More Valuable in the Future
“So a lot of that carbon in our portfolio comes from utility companies that are on a pathway to transitioning. If we're right, those companies will be ultimately more valuable in the future because there'll be better position. The cash flows will be capitalized…”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 42:42 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Opinion
Orum: Private renewable infrastructure yields are likely below Capricorn's cost of capital
“Even in the private side where so much Of renewable infrastructure is priced. It's likely below our cost of capital. It may be more appropriate for pension funds or other large pools.”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 44:31 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Insight
Bill Orum: Emerging investment firms fail when abandoning differentiated strategies
“I think where we've had less success than we would have hoped is that things don't go exceedingly well early. People tend to gravitate back towards what's traditional and comfortable. It's always better just to press whatever advantage you think. So be as diff…”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 46:45 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Orum: Distressed clean-tech investing will emerge as a major energy transition opportunity
“This hasn't yet happened in the energy transition, but I think because of what occurred in the last couple of years in the current environment that we're in, I think there's going to be a very interesting opportunity around distressed investing in clean tech, …”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 49:33 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Assertion Supported
Bill Orum: Reforestation Can Absorb Most Capital Among Carbon Sinks Today
“The market that can absorb the most significant amount of capital today is nature-based afforestation, reforestation.”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 53:08 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Orum: Rare to find a VC firm today without a climate focus
“I think in the venture landscape, it's very rare that you run into any venture capital firm these days that doesn't have some sort of focus on climate, and I think that's usually a pretty strong indicator.”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 54:19 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Disclosure
Bill Orum: Ion Yadigaroglu led Capricorn's early investment in Tesla
“So we started there and Jan led an investment in Tesla.”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 15:43 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Disclosure
Capricorn Allocates 60% to Equities, 20% to Real Assets, 10% Liquid
“We have about 60% of the capital in various forms of equities, public and private, about 20% of the capital in real assets. Those real assets tend to be more contractual, more infrastructure-like, just because of the nature of what we're doing, so not nearly a…”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 19:19 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Orum: Capricorn has backed 25 asset management firms in 15 years
“And so we've backed 25 firms over the last 15 years, a couple per year.”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 26:29 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)
Assertion Supported
Orum: Public Companies Account for Roughly 40% of Global Emissions
“I think the number is something like 40% of global emissions are attributable to public companies, so it's material.”
Bill Orem Mar 13, 2023 ▶ 37:31 William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Allocators EP.301)

Show 4statements(4 left)

The other half of the tape: Bill Orem's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 2 times in 2 episodes on Capital Allocators. every mention, with the transcript →

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Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
William Orum – Mission-Aligned Allocation at Capricorn (Climate Solutions EP.2, Capital Al Mar 13, 2023 41m
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