May 26, 2025 · 54m · capital-allocators

Kristin Kallergis Rowland – Alts at J.P. Morgan's Private Bank (Private Wealth 4, EP.447)

Kristin Kolurgis-Roland · 36m spoken Ted Seides · 11m spoken
0:00 / 0:00

gold bands on the timeline = statements, start to end. Hover to read, click to jump. CC turns on captions

In this episode of the Capital Allocators Private Wealth mini-series, host Ted Seides interviews Kristin Kallergis Rowland, Global Head of Alternative Investments at J.P. Morgan Wealth Management, to discuss how the firm manages $180 billion in alternatives. Rowland details J.P. Morgan's centralized diligence architecture, multi-asset portfolio construction, the rise of evergreen fund structures, and the broader democratization of private markets.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. Ted holds 24.5% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

Ted as informed peer 3.1 Guest teaching 1.5 Guest disagreement 0.2 Ted pushing back 0.0
05100:0015:0030:0045:008:11–10:42 · Ted as informed peer 1/10 Capital Allocators Team Announcement: Head of Content Role Introductory housekeeping and team hiring announcement followed by an open-ended question inviting the guest to share her career trajectory at J.P. Morgan.10:42–13:28 · Ted as informed peer 2/10 The Scope and Client Spectrum of J.P. Morgan Private Bank Ted asks foundational scoping questions regarding client demographics and high-level asset allocation, while Kristin shares high-level firm statistics collaboratively.13:29–17:13 · Ted as informed peer 3/10 Goals-Based Client Planning and Unified Solutions Process Ted inquires about organizational design and manager research workflows; Kristin explains their goals-based planning and investment review committee mechanics.17:14–19:44 · Ted as informed peer 3/10 Private Equity Market Mapping and Mid-Market Focus Ted probes on private equity market mapping and approved lists, with Kristin breaking down leverage shifts and mid-market positioning.19:45–22:08 · Ted as informed peer 3/10 Fund Size, Return Drivers, and Manager Differentiation Ted asks about manager capacity limits and key qualitative differentiators. Kristin outlines return drivers, team continuity, and operational value creation.22:08–25:30 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Private Credit Evolution: Direct Lending and Opportunistic Niches Ted notes the concentration in private credit; Kristin clarifies that the asset class is an institutional shift rather than a novel concept, detailing direct lending vs. opportunistic credit.25:30–28:28 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Venture Capital Strategy and Innovation Ecosystem Ted asks how large-scale platforms access capacity-constrained VC funds. Kristin details dispersion statistics and fund-of-funds implementation.28:30–31:28 · Ted as informed peer 3/10 Sponsor Ad: Ridgeline Investment Management Tech Following a sponsor read, Ted asks how firmwide corporate relationships inform tech/VC diligence, and Kristin details internal testing feedback loops.31:28–35:10 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Investment Committee Dynamics and Matching Client Demand Ted pushes on fee extraction and GP stakes negotiation. Kristin explains the balancing act between obtaining institutional fee terms and maintaining alignment.35:10–38:11 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Tax Optimization, Offshore Structures, and Asset Location Ted asks about tax-efficient structuring for alternatives like hedge funds, leading Kristin to outline offshore BDC mechanics and insurance-dedicated fund wrappers.38:11–40:33 · Ted as informed peer 3/10 Fund Structures: Interval Funds vs. Tender Offer Vehicles Ted raises interval fund expansion. Kristin shares historical reservations regarding tender offers versus interval mechanics before noting market maturation.40:33–43:53 · Ted as informed peer 3/10 Industry Catalysts Driving Wealth Allocations to Alternatives Ted asks what catalysts are driving current wealth allocations compared to earlier cycles; Kristin highlights GP re-up diversification needs and platform tech adoption.43:53–46:12 · Ted as informed peer 4/10 Evaluating Cash Drag, Dilution, and Asset-Class Suitability Ted directly addresses cash drag and return dilution in evergreen funds; Kristin provides specific basis-point dilution ranges while questioning uninvested cash assumptions.46:12–48:44 · Ted as informed peer 3/10 Shifting Client Allocations: Co-Investments, Infrastructure, and Resilience Ted asks about allocation trends; Kristin outlines the decline in venture co-investing and the surge into inflation-hedged infrastructure and uncorrelated hedge funds.48:44–52:06 · Ted as informed peer 3/10 Evolution of Portfolio Construction and Fund Diversification Ted asks about platform evolutions over time; Kristin explains how expanding from single-digit fund offerings to 22-27 fund target portfolios added diversification without sacrificing returns.8:11–10:42 · Guest teaching 0/10 Capital Allocators Team Announcement: Head of Content Role Introductory housekeeping and team hiring announcement followed by an open-ended question inviting the guest to share her career trajectory at J.P. Morgan.10:42–13:28 · Guest teaching 1/10 The Scope and Client Spectrum of J.P. Morgan Private Bank Ted asks foundational scoping questions regarding client demographics and high-level asset allocation, while Kristin shares high-level firm statistics collaboratively.13:29–17:13 · Guest teaching 2/10 Goals-Based Client Planning and Unified Solutions Process Ted inquires about organizational design and manager research workflows; Kristin explains their goals-based planning and investment review committee mechanics.17:14–19:44 · Guest teaching 1/10 Private Equity Market Mapping and Mid-Market Focus Ted probes on private equity market mapping and approved lists, with Kristin breaking down leverage shifts and mid-market positioning.19:45–22:08 · Guest teaching 1/10 Fund Size, Return Drivers, and Manager Differentiation Ted asks about manager capacity limits and key qualitative differentiators. Kristin outlines return drivers, team continuity, and operational value creation.22:08–25:30 · Guest teaching 2/10 Private Credit Evolution: Direct Lending and Opportunistic Niches Ted notes the concentration in private credit; Kristin clarifies that the asset class is an institutional shift rather than a novel concept, detailing direct lending vs. opportunistic credit.25:30–28:28 · Guest teaching 2/10 Venture Capital Strategy and Innovation Ecosystem Ted asks how large-scale platforms access capacity-constrained VC funds. Kristin details dispersion statistics and fund-of-funds implementation.28:30–31:28 · Guest teaching 1/10 Sponsor Ad: Ridgeline Investment Management Tech Following a sponsor read, Ted asks how firmwide corporate relationships inform tech/VC diligence, and Kristin details internal testing feedback loops.31:28–35:10 · Guest teaching 1/10 Investment Committee Dynamics and Matching Client Demand Ted pushes on fee extraction and GP stakes negotiation. Kristin explains the balancing act between obtaining institutional fee terms and maintaining alignment.35:10–38:11 · Guest teaching 3/10 Tax Optimization, Offshore Structures, and Asset Location Ted asks about tax-efficient structuring for alternatives like hedge funds, leading Kristin to outline offshore BDC mechanics and insurance-dedicated fund wrappers.38:11–40:33 · Guest teaching 2/10 Fund Structures: Interval Funds vs. Tender Offer Vehicles Ted raises interval fund expansion. Kristin shares historical reservations regarding tender offers versus interval mechanics before noting market maturation.40:33–43:53 · Guest teaching 1/10 Industry Catalysts Driving Wealth Allocations to Alternatives Ted asks what catalysts are driving current wealth allocations compared to earlier cycles; Kristin highlights GP re-up diversification needs and platform tech adoption.43:53–46:12 · Guest teaching 2/10 Evaluating Cash Drag, Dilution, and Asset-Class Suitability Ted directly addresses cash drag and return dilution in evergreen funds; Kristin provides specific basis-point dilution ranges while questioning uninvested cash assumptions.46:12–48:44 · Guest teaching 1/10 Shifting Client Allocations: Co-Investments, Infrastructure, and Resilience Ted asks about allocation trends; Kristin outlines the decline in venture co-investing and the surge into inflation-hedged infrastructure and uncorrelated hedge funds.48:44–52:06 · Guest teaching 2/10 Evolution of Portfolio Construction and Fund Diversification Ted asks about platform evolutions over time; Kristin explains how expanding from single-digit fund offerings to 22-27 fund target portfolios added diversification without sacrificing returns.8:11–10:42 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Capital Allocators Team Announcement: Head of Content Role Introductory housekeeping and team hiring announcement followed by an open-ended question inviting the guest to share her career trajectory at J.P. Morgan.10:42–13:28 · Guest disagreement 0/10 The Scope and Client Spectrum of J.P. Morgan Private Bank Ted asks foundational scoping questions regarding client demographics and high-level asset allocation, while Kristin shares high-level firm statistics collaboratively.13:29–17:13 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Goals-Based Client Planning and Unified Solutions Process Ted inquires about organizational design and manager research workflows; Kristin explains their goals-based planning and investment review committee mechanics.17:14–19:44 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Private Equity Market Mapping and Mid-Market Focus Ted probes on private equity market mapping and approved lists, with Kristin breaking down leverage shifts and mid-market positioning.19:45–22:08 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Fund Size, Return Drivers, and Manager Differentiation Ted asks about manager capacity limits and key qualitative differentiators. Kristin outlines return drivers, team continuity, and operational value creation.22:08–25:30 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Private Credit Evolution: Direct Lending and Opportunistic Niches Ted notes the concentration in private credit; Kristin clarifies that the asset class is an institutional shift rather than a novel concept, detailing direct lending vs. opportunistic credit.25:30–28:28 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Venture Capital Strategy and Innovation Ecosystem Ted asks how large-scale platforms access capacity-constrained VC funds. Kristin details dispersion statistics and fund-of-funds implementation.28:30–31:28 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Sponsor Ad: Ridgeline Investment Management Tech Following a sponsor read, Ted asks how firmwide corporate relationships inform tech/VC diligence, and Kristin details internal testing feedback loops.31:28–35:10 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Investment Committee Dynamics and Matching Client Demand Ted pushes on fee extraction and GP stakes negotiation. Kristin explains the balancing act between obtaining institutional fee terms and maintaining alignment.35:10–38:11 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Tax Optimization, Offshore Structures, and Asset Location Ted asks about tax-efficient structuring for alternatives like hedge funds, leading Kristin to outline offshore BDC mechanics and insurance-dedicated fund wrappers.38:11–40:33 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Fund Structures: Interval Funds vs. Tender Offer Vehicles Ted raises interval fund expansion. Kristin shares historical reservations regarding tender offers versus interval mechanics before noting market maturation.40:33–43:53 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Industry Catalysts Driving Wealth Allocations to Alternatives Ted asks what catalysts are driving current wealth allocations compared to earlier cycles; Kristin highlights GP re-up diversification needs and platform tech adoption.43:53–46:12 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Evaluating Cash Drag, Dilution, and Asset-Class Suitability Ted directly addresses cash drag and return dilution in evergreen funds; Kristin provides specific basis-point dilution ranges while questioning uninvested cash assumptions.46:12–48:44 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Shifting Client Allocations: Co-Investments, Infrastructure, and Resilience Ted asks about allocation trends; Kristin outlines the decline in venture co-investing and the surge into inflation-hedged infrastructure and uncorrelated hedge funds.48:44–52:06 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Evolution of Portfolio Construction and Fund Diversification Ted asks about platform evolutions over time; Kristin explains how expanding from single-digit fund offerings to 22-27 fund target portfolios added diversification without sacrificing returns.8:11–10:42 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Capital Allocators Team Announcement: Head of Content Role Introductory housekeeping and team hiring announcement followed by an open-ended question inviting the guest to share her career trajectory at J.P. Morgan.10:42–13:28 · Ted pushing back 0/10 The Scope and Client Spectrum of J.P. Morgan Private Bank Ted asks foundational scoping questions regarding client demographics and high-level asset allocation, while Kristin shares high-level firm statistics collaboratively.13:29–17:13 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Goals-Based Client Planning and Unified Solutions Process Ted inquires about organizational design and manager research workflows; Kristin explains their goals-based planning and investment review committee mechanics.17:14–19:44 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Private Equity Market Mapping and Mid-Market Focus Ted probes on private equity market mapping and approved lists, with Kristin breaking down leverage shifts and mid-market positioning.19:45–22:08 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Fund Size, Return Drivers, and Manager Differentiation Ted asks about manager capacity limits and key qualitative differentiators. Kristin outlines return drivers, team continuity, and operational value creation.22:08–25:30 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Private Credit Evolution: Direct Lending and Opportunistic Niches Ted notes the concentration in private credit; Kristin clarifies that the asset class is an institutional shift rather than a novel concept, detailing direct lending vs. opportunistic credit.25:30–28:28 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Venture Capital Strategy and Innovation Ecosystem Ted asks how large-scale platforms access capacity-constrained VC funds. Kristin details dispersion statistics and fund-of-funds implementation.28:30–31:28 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Sponsor Ad: Ridgeline Investment Management Tech Following a sponsor read, Ted asks how firmwide corporate relationships inform tech/VC diligence, and Kristin details internal testing feedback loops.31:28–35:10 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Investment Committee Dynamics and Matching Client Demand Ted pushes on fee extraction and GP stakes negotiation. Kristin explains the balancing act between obtaining institutional fee terms and maintaining alignment.35:10–38:11 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Tax Optimization, Offshore Structures, and Asset Location Ted asks about tax-efficient structuring for alternatives like hedge funds, leading Kristin to outline offshore BDC mechanics and insurance-dedicated fund wrappers.38:11–40:33 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Fund Structures: Interval Funds vs. Tender Offer Vehicles Ted raises interval fund expansion. Kristin shares historical reservations regarding tender offers versus interval mechanics before noting market maturation.40:33–43:53 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Industry Catalysts Driving Wealth Allocations to Alternatives Ted asks what catalysts are driving current wealth allocations compared to earlier cycles; Kristin highlights GP re-up diversification needs and platform tech adoption.43:53–46:12 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Evaluating Cash Drag, Dilution, and Asset-Class Suitability Ted directly addresses cash drag and return dilution in evergreen funds; Kristin provides specific basis-point dilution ranges while questioning uninvested cash assumptions.46:12–48:44 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Shifting Client Allocations: Co-Investments, Infrastructure, and Resilience Ted asks about allocation trends; Kristin outlines the decline in venture co-investing and the surge into inflation-hedged infrastructure and uncorrelated hedge funds.48:44–52:06 · Ted pushing back 0/10 Evolution of Portfolio Construction and Fund Diversification Ted asks about platform evolutions over time; Kristin explains how expanding from single-digit fund offerings to 22-27 fund target portfolios added diversification without sacrificing returns.

speaking balance: gold is Ted, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · Ted 100% · guest 0%0:00 · Ted 100% · guest 0%3:00 · Ted 89.8% · guest 10.2%3:00 · Ted 89.8% · guest 10.2%6:00 · Ted 72.8% · guest 27.2%6:00 · Ted 72.8% · guest 27.2%9:00 · Ted 11.6% · guest 88.4%9:00 · Ted 11.6% · guest 88.4%12:00 · Ted 8.7% · guest 91.3%12:00 · Ted 8.7% · guest 91.3%15:00 · Ted 7.3% · guest 92.7%15:00 · Ted 7.3% · guest 92.7%18:00 · Ted 7.4% · guest 92.6%18:00 · Ted 7.4% · guest 92.6%21:00 · Ted 14.2% · guest 85.8%21:00 · Ted 14.2% · guest 85.8%24:00 · Ted 5.3% · guest 94.7%24:00 · Ted 5.3% · guest 94.7%27:00 · Ted 47.3% · guest 52.7%27:00 · Ted 47.3% · guest 52.7%30:00 · Ted 13.2% · guest 86.8%30:00 · Ted 13.2% · guest 86.8%33:00 · Ted 4.3% · guest 95.7%33:00 · Ted 4.3% · guest 95.7%36:00 · Ted 8.5% · guest 91.5%36:00 · Ted 8.5% · guest 91.5%39:00 · Ted 10.4% · guest 89.6%39:00 · Ted 10.4% · guest 89.6%42:00 · Ted 10.1% · guest 89.9%42:00 · Ted 10.1% · guest 89.9%45:00 · Ted 7.5% · guest 92.5%45:00 · Ted 7.5% · guest 92.5%48:00 · Ted 6.3% · guest 93.7%48:00 · Ted 6.3% · guest 93.7%51:00 · Ted 9% · guest 91%51:00 · Ted 9% · guest 91%54:00 · Ted 57.2% · guest 42.8%54:00 · Ted 57.2% · guest 42.8%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 43:53 Challenging conventional cash drag assumptions

Kristin pushes back on the academic framing of return dilution in evergreen vehicles, arguing that most individuals leave committed capital in cash rather than earning high theoretical hurdle rates.

Hardest push from Ted ▶ 33:00 Pressing on institutional fee extraction and GP stakes

Ted challenges Kristin on whether J.P. Morgan uses its immense scale to aggressively extract fee discounts or take GP equity stakes from fund managers.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 35:14 Explaining BDC tax optimization for offshore LPs

Kristin educates on the technical structural benefits of BDCs in saving up to 200 basis points of effectively connected income tax for non-US investors.

Ted holds their own ▶ 43:50 Drilling into evergreen liquidity trade-offs

Ted sharply frames the structural tension of evergreen funds by asking specifically how much return is diluted to pay for underlying liquidity buffers.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicTed as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementTed pushing backWhy
Capital Allocators Team Announcement: Head of Content Role 1000 Introductory housekeeping and team hiring announcement followed by an open-ended question inviting the guest to share her career trajectory at J.P. Morgan.
The Scope and Client Spectrum of J.P. Morgan Private Bank 2100 Ted asks foundational scoping questions regarding client demographics and high-level asset allocation, while Kristin shares high-level firm statistics collaboratively.
Goals-Based Client Planning and Unified Solutions Process 3200 Ted inquires about organizational design and manager research workflows; Kristin explains their goals-based planning and investment review committee mechanics.
Private Equity Market Mapping and Mid-Market Focus 3100 Ted probes on private equity market mapping and approved lists, with Kristin breaking down leverage shifts and mid-market positioning.
Fund Size, Return Drivers, and Manager Differentiation 3100 Ted asks about manager capacity limits and key qualitative differentiators. Kristin outlines return drivers, team continuity, and operational value creation.
Private Credit Evolution: Direct Lending and Opportunistic Niches 4210 Ted notes the concentration in private credit; Kristin clarifies that the asset class is an institutional shift rather than a novel concept, detailing direct lending vs. opportunistic credit.
Venture Capital Strategy and Innovation Ecosystem 4200 Ted asks how large-scale platforms access capacity-constrained VC funds. Kristin details dispersion statistics and fund-of-funds implementation.
Sponsor Ad: Ridgeline Investment Management Tech 3100 Following a sponsor read, Ted asks how firmwide corporate relationships inform tech/VC diligence, and Kristin details internal testing feedback loops.
Investment Committee Dynamics and Matching Client Demand 4100 Ted pushes on fee extraction and GP stakes negotiation. Kristin explains the balancing act between obtaining institutional fee terms and maintaining alignment.
Tax Optimization, Offshore Structures, and Asset Location 4300 Ted asks about tax-efficient structuring for alternatives like hedge funds, leading Kristin to outline offshore BDC mechanics and insurance-dedicated fund wrappers.
Fund Structures: Interval Funds vs. Tender Offer Vehicles 3210 Ted raises interval fund expansion. Kristin shares historical reservations regarding tender offers versus interval mechanics before noting market maturation.
Industry Catalysts Driving Wealth Allocations to Alternatives 3100 Ted asks what catalysts are driving current wealth allocations compared to earlier cycles; Kristin highlights GP re-up diversification needs and platform tech adoption.
Evaluating Cash Drag, Dilution, and Asset-Class Suitability 4210 Ted directly addresses cash drag and return dilution in evergreen funds; Kristin provides specific basis-point dilution ranges while questioning uninvested cash assumptions.
Shifting Client Allocations: Co-Investments, Infrastructure, and Resilience 3100 Ted asks about allocation trends; Kristin outlines the decline in venture co-investing and the surge into inflation-hedged infrastructure and uncorrelated hedge funds.
Evolution of Portfolio Construction and Fund Diversification 3200 Ted asks about platform evolutions over time; Kristin explains how expanding from single-digit fund offerings to 22-27 fund target portfolios added diversification without sacrificing returns.

Statements from this episode (36)

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mass affluent hold 2-5% in alternatives versus 20-50% for institutions
“Private wealth portfolios, particularly the so-called mass affluent, typically hold only two to five percent of their assets and alternatives, compared to a range of 20 to 50% per institutions.”
Ted Seides May 26, 2025 ▶ 5:00
Assertion Supported
Top six wealth platforms committed $110B, doubling top six institutions
“According to Arctos Partners, the six largest private banking and wire house platforms committed a hundred and ten billion dollars to funds last year. Approximately twice the amount invested from the six largest institutional investors in North America.”
Ted Seides May 26, 2025 ▶ 5:24
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Every 1% wealth shift to alternatives creates $500 billion in new capital
“Every one percent asset allocation shift would equate to approximately five hundred billion dollars of new investments.”
Ted Seides May 26, 2025 ▶ 5:48
Assertion Supported
J.P. Morgan manages $178 billion in alternative investments
“It's not as significant as the portfolios that we manage on behalf of clients, which is almost a half a trillion dollars, but a lot of what we do in alternatives, which is about a hundred and seventy eight billion dollars, where we allocate to a lot of non JP …”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 10:58
Disclosure
J.P. Morgan targets 50% to 70% of private portfolios in core PE
“In the private markets, we think about allocating our portfolios half to 70% of it every year is in core private equity. 20 to 25% is in growth equity and venture. Mostly growth equity, although we've been leaning into venture the last couple years. 15 to 25% …”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 12:04
Assertion Supported
J.P. Morgan's top 200 family offices average a 46% alternatives allocation
“We run a family office report. We started it a couple years ago where we go to the top 200 families. About 25% of it was in pure equities. 46% of it was in alternatives. And the remainder, about just over 20%, was in fixed income. Started the family office sid…”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 12:44
Opinion
Client portfolios shift from 60/40 to 45% equities, 15% alternatives
“If you look across our broad client base, a lot of clients were sixty-forty, 60 equities, 40 fixed income. Across the board, it's probably now changing to maybe 45% equities, 15% in alternatives, and the remainder still like fixed income and where you put priv…”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 13:07
Insight
Institutions fill asset buckets while individuals focus purely on absolute returns
“Most institutions fill a bucket. They say, I want to invest X amount in private equity or private credit. Individuals don't. They just want to know, What are the absolute returns?”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 15:36
Disclosure
J.P. Morgan halted allocations to mega-cap buyout funds in 2013
“So we made a decision in 2013 to stop investing in some of the mega cap buyout funds because we felt like returns were coming down.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 15:45
Insight
Mid-market PE uses two turns less leverage with more exit paths
“They use a little bit less leverage, maybe two turns less on average. They have more exit opportunities. They can potentially buy cheaper depending on what their skill set is.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 17:30
Disclosure
J.P. Morgan maintained 20% to 25% in growth and venture post-2021
“Same thing in growth and venture over the last two to three years. We were still making sure it was 20 to 25% of the portfolio, even though a lot of folks were digesting what they'd done in 2020 and 20 21.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 18:04
Assertion Supported
Multiple expansion drove half of private equity returns over the last decade
“So if you look at the private equity industry, the data tells you that over the last decade, half the returns came from multiple expansion.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 20:21
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Multiple expansion will no longer drive half of private equity returns
“That's not good or bad necessarily, but that's not going to persist.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 20:27
Disclosure
J.P. Morgan Private Bank maintains 85 to 90 active manager relationships
“We have offered Over 200. There's about 85 to 90 active relationships that we have in the broad private bank offering.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 21:23
Disclosure
J.P. Morgan vets private equity managers by asking credit lenders for feedback
“If we invest with a private equity manager, we typically go to all the private credit managers and ask how they treat them.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 22:53
Prediction Held up
Direct lending returns will likely fall 200 basis points as banks re-enter
“As that market continues to evolve, and as the banks start to get back into some of these areas, we do think returns are going to come down. Probably by about 200 basis points on average.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 24:20
Opinion
Allocators are overweight direct lending and underweight opportunistic credit
“The market and most allocations are overweight direct lending and don't have enough of the opportunistic credit.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 24:44
Assertion Supported
Return dispersion is 27% in venture capital versus 17% in private equity
“We know that the dispersion in private equity is 17% between Top and bottom quartile. In venture, it's something like 27%.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 25:55
Assertion Not checkable as stated
J.P. Morgan's largest wealth clients hold less than 5% in venture capital
“If you look at our client portfolios, even for the largest families, venture allocations was still less than five percent. It was 4.85%.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 27:22
Insight
Fund rejections at J.P. Morgan's investment committee are intentionally rare
“The actual investment decisions, it's rare that you get to investment committee and something's a no because you've already worked on all these processes before then.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 32:03
Disclosure
J.P. Morgan rarely takes GP economics, prioritizing fee discounts via MFNs
“We rarely take GP economics. We do from time to time. But we're mostly focused on how do you generate the best net returns? If we're going to bring in institutional size capital, we want to make sure that we get most favored nations and that discount.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 33:28
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Direct lending funds taxed away 200 basis points for non-U.S. investors
“There were funds that on average in the direct lending space would take off 200 basis points of return if you were a non-U.S. Investor.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 35:40
Insight
Funding source for hedge funds completely shifted from equities to fixed income
“If you asked us 10 years ago, the funding source for most hedge funds was equity, and that's completely shifted. Even in our portfolios, the funding source is fixed income.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 37:34
Disclosure
J.P. Morgan favors tender offer funds over interval structures in private credit
“As the industry evolved in private credit, which is the main source of the interval funds, we preferred tender offer funds versus interval. We preferred the concept that in some of the worst market drawdowns that a fund manager could or a board could say it's …”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 38:22
Assertion Supported
Private equity distributions to investors hit lowest level since 2008
“Especially at a time where distributions paid in from existing funds are at the lowest level they've been at since the great financial crisis.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 41:41
Assertion Supported
Industry-wide drawdown fund fundraising declined for three straight years
“If you look at fundraising across the industry, on the drawdown side, it's been a decline the last three years.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 42:29
Insight
Wealth clients prefer 8-10% evergreen funds over 11-14% drawdown lockups
“For managers that are in the, what I call, no man's land, And this is what I mean by that. Your returns are somewhere between 11 to 14% net returns is what you've delivered, and you are looking to lock up your capital for 10 to 15 years, and no one ever ends o…”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 42:47
Assertion Supported
Most private market evergreen managers hold 15% to 25% in liquid securities
“Most of these fund managers in the private market evergreen space, there's still less than 500 of them that exist today. Hold anywhere between 15 to 25% in liquid securities, and they do charge higher fees.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 43:54
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Return dilution in evergreen funds ranges from 200 to 500 basis points
“Return dilution is anywhere from two to 500 basis points.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 44:22
Disclosure
J.P. Morgan prefers evergreen funds for credit but drawdowns for venture
“So in places like direct lending, core plus real estate, and even value-add a little bit, and in infrastructure investment, the core core plus space, we prefer a lot of the evergreen strategies. And then in the more directional private equity, definitely growt…”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 45:10
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Private credit management fees fell roughly 25 basis points over three years
“Credit side, we definitely have. Even over the last three years, we've probably seen about 25 basis points lower on the management fee side, and on the carry, maybe down two and a half to five percent.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 45:36
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Direct investing constitutes less than 5% of large family portfolios
“So direct investing, even of our largest families, is less than five percent of their portfolios, which surprises me because it takes up a lot of conversation because you get excited about those things.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 46:29
Disclosure
J.P. Morgan sees hedge fund flows rebound after seven years of outflows
“We went from a period in 2014 where we made a strategic asset allocation shift downwards in hedge funds as we thought that rates were going to stay lower for longer. So our strategic asset allocation is 10%. We had negative flows for a period of almost seven y…”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 47:16
Assertion Partly supported
Institutions allocate up to low double digits to infrastructure investments
“The institutional world got there almost a decade ago. Most of those institutional portfolios can be high single digits, even low double digits. They've replaced traditional liquid fixed income with that.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 48:22
Insight
The optimal private markets portfolio contains between 22 and 27 funds
“And they've realized that in private markets, for example, the optimal number of funds in a portfolio should actually be between It's like 22 and 27 funds, where as we started shifting there and offering more choice, our clients were like, aren't you diluting …”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 49:19
Insight
Portfolios targeting 9% to 10% long-term returns do not need venture capital
“If you told me that your target return over the long haul was nine or 10%, which is going to be U.S. Large cap equities in long-term capital market assumptions, you don't need to venture in your portfolio to achieve that.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 49:58
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