Shiller PE

also referred to as: shiller p.e.

4 statements across 1 episodes · 0 bullish · 1 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement May 2, 2017 by Ted Seides · across every show →

Everything said about Shiller PE, oldest first

May 2, 2017 neutral
Assertion Supported
Seides: S&P 10-year return was historically anomalous given starting Shiller P/E
“In fact, I think from this starting Shiller PE valuation from nine and a half years ago, this was the best, if not one of the best tenure periods ever.”
Ted Seides May 2, 2017 ▶ 48:45 The Bet with Buffett (Capital Allocators, EP.05)
May 2, 2017 neutral
Assertion Supported
O'Shaughnessy: 10-year real equity returns strongly inversely correlate with Shiller P/E
“When you look at the correlation Correlation between the current Shiller P.E. And the future 10 years of real returns in the market, it's very high. It's something like .7 or point, maybe even higher than that.7. So pretty reliably, what that means is if you b…”
Patrick O'Shaughnessy May 2, 2017 ▶ 25:37 The Bet with Buffett (Capital Allocators, EP.05)
May 2, 2017 neutral
Assertion Supported
O'Shaughnessy: Average Shiller P/E sits near 16-17, shifting higher post-1980
“Historically speaking, the average Shiller P.E. Is probably 1617, something like that. But there's definitely two regimes, and one is sort of pre-early 19 eighties, and one is post. And the average post, 19 eighties, is much higher.”
Patrick O'Shaughnessy May 2, 2017 ▶ 25:20 The Bet with Buffett (Capital Allocators, EP.05)
May 2, 2017 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
O'Shaughnessy: Shiller P/E at 30 marks only the third time ever
“And we're at 30 today. Only the third time ever at 30 today.”
Patrick O'Shaughnessy May 2, 2017 ▶ 26:11 The Bet with Buffett (Capital Allocators, EP.05)
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