San Francisco

11 statements across 10 episodes · 3 bullish · 6 bearish · 10 people on the record · first statement Aug 6, 2018 by Roz Hewsenian · said 174 times in 110 episodes since 2017 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Ted Seides (7), Michael Ovitz (6), Simon Krinsky (5), Howard Smith (5), Annie Duke (5), Sarah Williamson (4), Rick Heitzman (4), Luis Laboy (4)

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010202017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
001.3102.5202017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 10 mentions in 5 episodes 2 per episode
2025 14 mentions in 9 episodes 2 per episode
2024 17 mentions in 8 episodes 2 per episode
2023 19 mentions in 13 episodes 1 per episode
2022 31 mentions in 16 episodes 2 per episode
2021 27 mentions in 19 episodes 1 per episode
2020 13 mentions in 9 episodes 1 per episode
2019 19 mentions in 15 episodes 1 per episode
2018 20 mentions in 12 episodes 2 per episode
2017 4 mentions in 4 episodes 1 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about San Francisco, oldest first

Aug 6, 2018 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hewsenian predicted in 2018 Gavin Newsom's policies would trigger Silicon Valley exodus
“The other thing that has us very excited is that we think that Silicon Valley is only going to last for so long. If for no other reason, California is becoming very business unfriendly. If Gavin Newsom wins the gubernatorial race, And he does to California wha…”
Roz Hewsenian Aug 6, 2018 ▶ 1:09:30 Roz Hewsenian –Helmsley Trust's Chief of People and Process (Capital Allocators, EP.63)
Oct 14, 2019
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Girotto: HBS Class of 1999 Sent More Graduates to SF Than NYC
“I think we were, 99 was the only class of Harvard graduates that sent more people to San Francisco than New York City, which was a leading indicator of what was going to happen, and it did happen a year later.”
Jay Girotto Oct 14, 2019 ▶ 7:07 Jay Girotto – Farmland Opportunity (First Meeting, EP.10)
Dec 2, 2019 positive
Disclosure
Martin: San Francisco Network Provided Crucial Diligence for Yale Venture Underwriting
“Because I was in emerging growth technology, there was a whole network of people that I knew from my nine years in San Francisco that were venture capitalists, growth equity investors, CEOs, and that provided a really nice database for me when underwriting new…”
Anne Martin Dec 2, 2019 ▶ 11:41 Anne Martin - Pulling the Oars as CIO of Wesleyan University (Capital Allocators, EP.114)
Jul 22, 2021 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Ford: San Francisco lost 100,000 residents due to progressive policies
“I'll probably get in trouble for this, but San Francisco has moved so far to the progressive end. They've lost a 100,000 residents out of 900,000 people.”
Bill Ford Jul 22, 2021 ▶ 40:36 Bill Ford – General Atlantic (Manager Meetings, EP.03)
Oct 4, 2021 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
Sternlicht: San Francisco is the worst US office market with 30% vacancy or sublease
“And so the worst office market in the United States is San Francisco, where 30% of the space is vacant or trying to be subleased, which is staggering.”
Barry Sternlicht Oct 4, 2021 ▶ 32:25 Barry Sternlicht – Masterclass in Real Estate in a Post-COVID World (Capital Allocators, EP.216)
Oct 4, 2021 bearish
Disclosure
Sternlicht: Starwood owns no office or residential properties in SF or NYC
“So we don't own anything in San Francisco or New York. We own a couple hotels in New York. We own no office, no residential anymore, and we've been active in these markets. We got out years ago, way before COVID.”
Barry Sternlicht Oct 4, 2021 ▶ 29:16 Barry Sternlicht – Masterclass in Real Estate in a Post-COVID World (Capital Allocators, EP.216)
Nov 24, 2021 bearish
Assertion Supported
Higgins: Post-2020 office occupancy sits at 30% in NYC, 20% in SF
“We were still from 2020, we're still only say 30% of occupancy in New York, San Francisco, around 20%.”
Brian Higgins Nov 24, 2021 ▶ 41:37 Brian Higgins - King Street Capital (Manager Meeting, EP. 21)
Jan 10, 2022 negative
Opinion
Touting $25K angel checks in consensus hot companies shows zero value proposition
“The thing that kills me dead, and this is a work one, is when I meet with folks, and they tell me about what a good investor they're in, because they're in companies A, B, and C, and the number of times that I hear, literally in the course of a week, the same …”
Chris Douvos Jan 10, 2022 ▶ 45:37 Chris Douvos – The LP's Perspective from Ahoy Capital, Venture is Eating the Investment World 2 (Capital Allocators, EP.230)
May 5, 2022 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Drobny: Latin American tech talent is returning home from US hubs
“So you've seen a lot of talented entrepreneurs who were originally from Latin America, who moved to San Francisco or New York, all moving home to do startups, because now there's capital that you can fund businesses.”
Steve Drobny May 5, 2022 ▶ 27:25 Steve Drobny – Where the World is Going at Clocktower Group (Manager Meeting, 30)
Nov 13, 2023 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Heitzmann: NYC engineers remain cheaper than SF as Bay Area costs surged
“So engineers, despite the challenge of Wall Street, were always at a discount to the Bay Area. The cost of living in San Francisco became much higher than New York in the last five to seven years.”
Rick Heitzman Nov 13, 2023 ▶ 23:55 Rick Heitzmann – New York Venture Investing at FirstMark Capital (EP.350)
Feb 24, 2025
Disclosure
Roth: BBR Partners manages $32B across roughly 180 families
“And where we are today is we have a 190 people at the firm. In three offices, New York, Chicago, and San Francisco, we manage money exclusively for wealthy families. There are about a 180 families where we're overseeing their wealth, and that's thirty two bill…”
Evan Roth Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 8:03 Brett Barth and Evan Roth – Stewarding Family Wealth at BBR (EP.433)
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