price momentum

3 statements across 1 episodes · 1 bullish · 1 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Jun 10, 2019 by Patrick O'Shaughnessy · across every show →

Everything said about price momentum, oldest first

Jun 10, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
O'Shaughnessy: Momentum forecasts fundamental growth better than valuation multiples
“What fascinates me about this is momentum does a better job of forecasting future fundamental growth than price does. So the highest momentum decile has better future fundamental growth than the most expensive, let's say PE decile or free cashflow yield decile…”
Patrick O'Shaughnessy Jun 10, 2019 ▶ 13:56 Patrick O'Shaughnessy – O'Shaughnessy Asset Management (First Meeting, EP.01)
Jun 10, 2019
Disclosure
O'Shaughnessy: OSAM Measures Momentum Across 3-12 Month Windows and Adjusts for Volatility
“What's fascinating about pure price momentum and the way that we think about this is three, six, nine, 12 month trailing windows of total return versus pierce. We think we should also care about the volatility of the momentum.”
Patrick O'Shaughnessy Jun 10, 2019 ▶ 16:32 Patrick O'Shaughnessy – O'Shaughnessy Asset Management (First Meeting, EP.01)
Jun 10, 2019 bearish
Assertion Supported
O'Shaughnessy: Momentum Alpha Exhausts Within One Year and Reverts to Negative Returns
“So you earn all of your momentum, all of your alpha, rather, in the first one year holding period, and then you actually need to get the hell out, because it reverts. And typically, depending on where you're looking at the data, within two years or so, it's ac…”
Patrick O'Shaughnessy Jun 10, 2019 ▶ 17:57 Patrick O'Shaughnessy – O'Shaughnessy Asset Management (First Meeting, EP.01)
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