Lux Capital

26 statements across 3 episodes · 11 bullish · 5 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Aug 20, 2018 by Josh Wolfe · said 43 times in 6 episodes since 2018 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Ted Seides (20), Josh Wolfe (14), Brett McGurk (4), Renata Quintini (3), Sahil Bloom (1), Chris Douvos (1)

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Everything said about Lux Capital, oldest first

Aug 20, 2018 neutral
Disclosure
Lux Capital targets 25 to 30 core positions of $15M-$25M per fund
“Now, a fully funded, structured portfolio for us is somewhere between 25 and 30 core positions, which means that each investing partner is doing between one and two core deals a year. And a core deal for us Is investing somewhere between 15 and twenty-five mil…”
Josh Wolfe Aug 20, 2018 ▶ 40:10 Josh Wolfe – Seeing the Lux (Capital Allocators, EP.65)
Aug 20, 2018 positive
Disclosure
Lux Capital partners get one 'override' investment per fund despite team disagreement
“We have implemented, starting about five years ago, a process where if there's a super strong table pounder, where the vast majority of the team does not agree, but somebody is psychotically passionate about a particular entrepreneur and opportunity, they get …”
Josh Wolfe Aug 20, 2018 ▶ 39:07 Josh Wolfe – Seeing the Lux (Capital Allocators, EP.65)
Aug 20, 2018
Disclosure
Wolfe: Lux Capital manages under $1.5B and raises $400M every two years
“Now just under a billion and a half. You know, we have periodicity where now we're about every two years raising about four hundred million dollars.”
Josh Wolfe Aug 20, 2018 ▶ 23:26 Josh Wolfe – Seeing the Lux (Capital Allocators, EP.65)
Aug 20, 2018 positive
Insight
Wolfe: VCs must be cynical and distrustful to spot carny charlatans
“You've got all kinds of carny charlatans that basically sculpt you into a somewhat cynical, squinty eyed, distrustful person of, you know, somebody trying to scheme over you, which I think in my business where you never really know if somebody is going to be l…”
Josh Wolfe Aug 20, 2018 ▶ 6:13 Josh Wolfe – Seeing the Lux (Capital Allocators, EP.65)
Aug 20, 2018 bullish
Assertion Supported
Lux-backed Kurion handled Fukushima cleanup and sold to Veolia for $400M
“We became the only U.S. Company pick for the cleanup, and we went from a million to 2040, 8000, 140. We sold that at forty million of EBITDA 10 times to a big French company, Veolia”
Josh Wolfe Aug 20, 2018 ▶ 25:21 Josh Wolfe – Seeing the Lux (Capital Allocators, EP.65)
Aug 20, 2018 neutral
Disclosure
Wolfe: Lux Capital hasn't used a financial spreadsheet in over a decade
“I joke, I haven't looked at a spreadsheet in over a decade. There's nothing for us to model.”
Josh Wolfe Aug 20, 2018 ▶ 36:17 Josh Wolfe – Seeing the Lux (Capital Allocators, EP.65)
Aug 20, 2018 neutral
Disclosure
Wolfe: Lux Capital manages 120+ portfolio companies with a 10-person team
“Between, we've got a 120 plus companies, we've got 10 people on the investment team.”
Josh Wolfe Aug 20, 2018 ▶ 37:56 Josh Wolfe – Seeing the Lux (Capital Allocators, EP.65)
Aug 20, 2018 neutral
Insight
Wolfe considers a 3.5x return on Crystal IS a process failure
“And here we ended up making three, three and a half times our money, but we considered it a process failure because all the expectations, all the modeling that we had and what the outcome could be, the reasons that a business would be bought all proved false. …”
Josh Wolfe Aug 20, 2018 ▶ 46:38 Josh Wolfe – Seeing the Lux (Capital Allocators, EP.65)
Aug 20, 2018 negative
Disclosure
Lux Capital passed on Cruise at $80M pre before GM's $1B acquisition
“The story which I tell publicly is about cruise automation. We offered them a twenty million dollar financing at a forty million pre, and they wanted eighty million pre money, and we thought that was absurd and too high. In the course of diligence, we introduc…”
Josh Wolfe Aug 20, 2018 ▶ 45:36 Josh Wolfe – Seeing the Lux (Capital Allocators, EP.65)
Aug 20, 2018
Assertion Supported
Wolfe: Carlyle Co-Founder Bill Conway Seeded Lux Capital and Its Management Company
“Bill Conway, who was one of the founders of Carlisle, and he's not really bullish on venture. I mean, Carlisle is, you know, one of the greatest private equity and buy-off funds, But he doesn't love venture capital, but there was something, whether it was the …”
Josh Wolfe Aug 20, 2018 ▶ 14:51 Josh Wolfe – Seeing the Lux (Capital Allocators, EP.65)
Aug 20, 2018 neutral
Disclosure
Lux Capital limits its entire seed program to one core position's size
“We have an active seed program where you could do a lot of those, but what we limited is that the total aggregate dollars that we invest in seeds, which are typically sub-two million dollars, so it could be a quarter million here, half million there, a million…”
Josh Wolfe Aug 20, 2018 ▶ 40:26 Josh Wolfe – Seeing the Lux (Capital Allocators, EP.65)
Aug 20, 2018 negative
Opinion
Wolfe: Venture capitalists have shifted to funding irrelevant 'fufu' mobile apps
“And I think that that guard has given way to people that are funding, you know, what I consider fufu apps and You know, mobile stuff that I think has very little relevance, but like real hard technology. It's provable. It's real. It's verifiable. It's not, you…”
Josh Wolfe Aug 20, 2018 ▶ 12:21 Josh Wolfe – Seeing the Lux (Capital Allocators, EP.65)
Feb 21, 2022 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Wolfe: Varda Will Launch First Space Manufacturing Mission in Late 2022
“Next year, this time, so it's gonna be a Q-three, Q-four, 20, 22, they will launch the first manufacturing thing in space, and that was wheeled into existence.”
Josh Wolfe Feb 21, 2022 ▶ 51:23 Josh Wolfe – Caution and Innovation at Lux Capital, Venture is Eating the Investment World 8 (Capital Allocators, EP.236)
Feb 21, 2022 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wolfe: Lux Startup Got 2.5x Valuation Term Sheet in One Hour
“We had a company that tipped off a fundraise to a large growth investor on a Sunday evening through a board member. On Monday, they met at noon. At one PM, the meeting ended at one, 12 PM. They had a market clearing offer in their inbox and accepted it. That w…”
Josh Wolfe Feb 21, 2022 ▶ 8:02 Josh Wolfe – Caution and Innovation at Lux Capital, Venture is Eating the Investment World 8 (Capital Allocators, EP.236)
Feb 21, 2022 negative
Disclosure
Wolfe: VCs Will Never Admit Slowing Investments to Protect Deal Flow
“We will never publicly come out and say, we're slowing down our pace. Because anybody that does that is going to lose deal flow.”
Josh Wolfe Feb 21, 2022 ▶ 56:29 Josh Wolfe – Caution and Innovation at Lux Capital, Venture is Eating the Investment World 8 (Capital Allocators, EP.236)
Feb 21, 2022 negative
What-if
Wolfe: Denying Early Liquidity to CTRL-Labs Founders Was a Colossal Mistake
“What I realized was what I should have done, which was a colossal and historic mistake, was make sure that we gave some interim liquidity. Because if we had put a few million dollars in that founder's pocket early on, the ability to stay the course would have …”
Josh Wolfe Feb 21, 2022 ▶ 24:26 Josh Wolfe – Caution and Innovation at Lux Capital, Venture is Eating the Investment World 8 (Capital Allocators, EP.236)
Feb 21, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wolfe: Future Technology Will Digitize and Replay Scent
“The directional arrow of progress clearly points to the ability to capture and eventually replay scent for all kinds of things.”
Josh Wolfe Feb 21, 2022 ▶ 29:16 Josh Wolfe – Caution and Innovation at Lux Capital, Venture is Eating the Investment World 8 (Capital Allocators, EP.236)
Feb 21, 2022 bullish
Disclosure
Wolfe: Lux Plans $20M–$25M Target for African Startup Investments in 2022
“We have made a series of what I consider seed investments. Not all the companies are startups. They're, in some cases, larger. Valuations have been between 20 and a hundred and fifty million. We've looked at some that are approaching a billion dollars, and I m…”
Josh Wolfe Feb 21, 2022 ▶ 1:04:45 Josh Wolfe – Caution and Innovation at Lux Capital, Venture is Eating the Investment World 8 (Capital Allocators, EP.236)
Feb 21, 2022 bearish
Disclosure
Wolfe: Lux Avoids Nuclear Startups Because Timelines Depend on Public Acceptance
“People that are pursuing nuclear power today, at the moment, do not count us as investors. Because I believe that the timeframes are not dependent upon the technology development. They're dependent on popular acceptance.”
Josh Wolfe Feb 21, 2022 ▶ 49:52 Josh Wolfe – Caution and Innovation at Lux Capital, Venture is Eating the Investment World 8 (Capital Allocators, EP.236)
Feb 21, 2022 bullish
Disclosure
Wolfe: Lux focuses on starting deep-tech companies with under five competitors
“And so we are spending more and more time on the deeply technical, very hard to do Under five competitors and helping those entrepreneurs start those companies because we're not playing in an auction game.”
Josh Wolfe Feb 21, 2022 ▶ 17:14 Josh Wolfe – Caution and Innovation at Lux Capital, Venture is Eating the Investment World 8 (Capital Allocators, EP.236)
Feb 21, 2022 bullish
Disclosure
Josh Wolfe: Lux Capital is investing aggressively across all defense domains
“And so we are looking at technologies and investing pretty aggressively in every facet of air, land, sea, space, and cyber, and informational, on things that can give the US and our allies advantages.”
Josh Wolfe Feb 21, 2022 ▶ 33:17 Josh Wolfe – Caution and Innovation at Lux Capital, Venture is Eating the Investment World 8 (Capital Allocators, EP.236)
Dec 8, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Wolfe: Lux Capital divides investments equally across biotech, aerospace/defense, and core tech
“We do everything at Lux from about a third in biotech and robotic surgery and med devices and another third in aerospace and defense and industrial. The other third on core technology, which is everything from non-invasive brain machine interfaces to everythin…”
Josh Wolfe Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 9:54 Josh Wolfe & Brett McGurk – Venture, Geopolitics, and the Next Frontier (EP.476)
Dec 8, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wolfe: Scientific wet lab research will be completely automated by robots
“Today, if you're a scientist, you have to go to a scientific lab, a wet bench, a white lab coat. You're working with pipettes and beakers, centrifuges, shaking tables. All of that is going to be done by robots. Completely automated labs operated in the cloud w…”
Josh Wolfe Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 49:07 Josh Wolfe & Brett McGurk – Venture, Geopolitics, and the Next Frontier (EP.476)
Dec 8, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wolfe: Capital allocation will shift toward asset maintenance technologies
“The pendulum is going to shift. Maintenance is going to be in high demand. That means that there's an opportunity for new technologies to help maintain existing assets.”
Josh Wolfe Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 46:23 Josh Wolfe & Brett McGurk – Venture, Geopolitics, and the Next Frontier (EP.476)
Dec 8, 2025 positive
Insight
Wolfe: Oligopolistic M&A bidding wars generate better returns than IPOs
“Our best outcomes, as an aside, have always been an oligopolistic industry structure where there's three or four players who are going to irrationally compete to own the asset because they want it and they don't want their competitor to get it leads to the bes…”
Josh Wolfe Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 15:59 Josh Wolfe & Brett McGurk – Venture, Geopolitics, and the Next Frontier (EP.476)
Dec 8, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
McGurk: Raising Middle East capital is difficult as region prioritizes domestic jobs
“It's not the easiest environment to raise capital right now. They are looking for opportunities that benefit themselves domestically as they're looking ahead with a young population, trying to create jobs, particularly in Saudi Arabia.”
Brett McGurk Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 25:14 Josh Wolfe & Brett McGurk – Venture, Geopolitics, and the Next Frontier (EP.476)
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