backtesting

2 statements across 2 episodes · 0 bullish · 1 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement May 13, 2024 by Cliff Asness · across every show →

Everything said about backtesting, oldest first

May 13, 2024
Disclosure
Asness: AQR models live factor returns at half the backtested result
“Literally, since our Goldman Sachs days, this is more than 25 years ago, we've generally used half a backtest out of sample as a bogey. And life has worked out fairly close to that.”
Cliff Asness May 13, 2024 ▶ 17:57 Cliff Asness - Simple Investing is Hard (EP.385)
Nov 20, 2025 negative
Insight
Mahr: ChatGPT stock backtests are untrustworthy due to look-ahead bias
“When you're running a back test through the better part of the last decade, ChatGPT knows that Nvidia became a multi-trillion dollar company. ChatGPT knows what the mega trends were in the economy and the market over those timeframes. It's not realistic to tru…”
Daniel Mahr Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 46:58 Daniel Mahr – Glass Box Quant at MDT Advisers (EP.472)
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