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baby boomers

also referred to as: baby boomer

5 statements across 5 episodes · 1 bullish · 1 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Feb 11, 2019 by Chris Ailman · across every show →

Everything said about baby boomers, oldest first

Feb 11, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Later Baby Boomers With 401(k)s Risk Retiring Into Poverty
“And we're going to see a crisis of people, the ladder into the baby boomer pulling out on their four one K and retiring into poverty.”
Chris Ailman Feb 11, 2019 ▶ 15:33 Chris Ailman – CalSTRS' Venerable CIO (Capital Allocators, EP.86)
Jun 29, 2023
Assertion Contradicted
Mullen: Pre-COVID data shows Americans stay in single-family homes until age 74
“If you went back to the data, you turned 60 years old, and you moved out of a single-family home, and it was like a rock dropping out of the sky how fast the curve goes down. And you looked at that same curve in 2019 pre-COVID, which is gonna make this even mo…”
Don Mullen Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 50:31 Don Mullen –Single-Family Rentals at Pretium (Capital Allocators, EP.324)
May 12, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2032
Matthews: Women will control over 50% of US wealth by 2032
“In seven years, they're going to control over 50% of the wealth in the United States because of this baby boomer phenomenon.”
John Matthews May 12, 2025 ▶ 51:18 John Mathews – Steering the Largest Wirehouse at UBS (Private Wealth 2, EP.444)
Jun 12, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Baby Boomers Own Nearly 50% of US Small Businesses
“70 plus million baby boomers own shy of 50% of the small businesses, and a lot of them are retiring and don't have a succession plan.”
Josh Kopowitz Jun 12, 2025 ▶ 26:27 Josh Koplewicz – Flexible Capital and Creative Structures at Thayer Street (EP.451)
Apr 27, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2046
Sloane: Roughly $10T in Assets Will Change Hands Over Two Decades
“What we realized while building value in the Burger King business was that there was a massive opportunity to invest in fragmented markets, high quality businesses behind this baby boomer generational transition, 10 trillion of assets or so set to change hands…”
Alex Sloane Apr 27, 2026 ▶ 13:29 Alex Sloane & Matt Perelman – Buy-and-Build Playbook in the Core Economy at GSP (EP.499)
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