The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 20 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 20 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Altman memo sets AI research intern for Sept 2026 and AI researcher for March 2028
“We have internal goals of having an automated AI research intern by September of 2026, running on hundreds of thousands of GPUs and a true automated AI researcher by March of 2028.”
Adler: OpenAI skipped committed safety testing for GPT 5.3 Codex release
“And unfortunately, it seems like OpenAI's release of last week, GPT, 5.3 codex, one of the big breakthrough models we've been talking about. As I look over the evidence, It seems like open AI did not abide by the testing that they had committed to in various w…”
Kantrowitz: Apple Is on Schedule to Release a Foldable Phone in 2026
“Apple is on schedule to release one this upcoming year, so why not wait?”
Groq CFO: AI workloads will consume 25% of US energy by 2028
“I think I saw a statistic that says by twenty-twenty-eight in the United States, a quarter of all of the energy produced will be used to run AI workloads, right, which is an amazing statistic.”
Lessig: 'Right to Warn' only allows public disclosure if reporting channels fail
“The right to warn we were talking about actually talked about creating an incentive so that no confidential information would be released to the public. If they had this structure, you know, imagine a portal again, where you can connect with the company and wi…”
Morris: Meta to double annual CapEx to $135 billion
“Meta double is going to double this year. It's capex. So like spending on data centers and chips and servers and everything that goes into supporting that upgrading power structure, it's going to double it to one hundred and thirty five billion, you know, from…”
Achieving 1,000 error-corrected logical qubits will require roughly 7 million physical qubits
“The goal would be to get to a thousand error corrected qubits, right? But just from that perspective, that's going to be around seven million physical qubits to do that.”
Prince: Creators make millions fulfilling unserved audio search queries on Spotify
“There are content creators out there that are making tens of millions of dollars a year just creating content for those searches that don't have good results right now, because Spotify surfaces that list of things where they don't give those results.”
OpenAI's GPT-4.5 Was Built as a Trillion-Parameter Dense Model
“GPT, 4.5 was an experimental model from OpenAI. It was the idea, let's train a trillion parameter dense model, meaning it is not sparse, meaning all the token, all the neurons are activated on every request. And it was so slow. It's really hard to run these th…”
Microsoft's AI accurately diagnosed a rare condition documented only 1,500 times
“We actually ran the DxO orchestrator last week on the most recent case study in the New England Journal of Medicine, and it correctly diagnose diagnosed the case that had only ever been seen 1500 times in all of medical literature.”
LeCun: Meta's Galactica AI demo was pulled by its development team
“Well, so what happened was the team that worked on it, which is within FAIR is called Papers with Code. They were so distraught by the reaction that they just couldn't take it. They said like, you know, we're just going to take it down. Like this was not a hig…”
Hackathon Participant Built and Sold an Entire Startup Using Claude Code
“There's one person that built and sold a startup as a result of one of these hackathons that we put on.”
Arbaugh: Brain pulsed three millimeters per heartbeat, tripling Neuralink's expectation
“They thought that the brain moved like a millimeter when it pulsed, and mine was moving three millimeters every time it pulsed.”
Srinivas: Wikipedia will not build its own GPT
“No, they're not going to build their own GPT. I've spoken to him and he uses our product and he likes our product a lot.”
Teller: Taara moves more daily data than Project Loon's entire history
“And we're rolling these out right now in mainly Africa and India. And that project is now moving more data to real customers per day than Loon moved in its entire history.”
Kantrowitz: Hundreds of Google Search engineers were reassigned to Google DeepMind
“Just one example I got from the story, hundreds of engineers from search, which is the most important product. At Google, which is responsible for more than half the revenue. Hundreds of engineers went from search to Google DeepMind just to, you know, give you…”
Roy: Apple aims to release smart glasses by late 2026
“Apple, they're aiming to release new smart glasses end of next year.”
Ford uses Google Cloud TPUs for digital wind tunnel simulations
“Ford Motor Company, for example, when they brought their, ah, they wanted to use our chips and our system called TPU, Tensor Processing Unit, to model air flow and wind tunnel simulation using Computers rather than physical wind tunnels, so they're doing that …”
Arbaugh: Neuralink implant surgery took under two hours
“The surgery was supposed to last between, like, three to six hours. It lasted under two.”
Arbaugh: Neuralink's robot completed implant surgery using only one needle
“That tiny dancer went straight to work and they brought like 20 needles to replace the needles because they didn't know if it would be able to Survive the whole surgery or if it would like break or anything of that sort. One needle did it.”