The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 1,883 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 20 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Lemoine: Google's LaMDA retained a lawyer who spoke to Washington Post
“Natasha also has spoken to the lawyer that Lambda retained.”
Lemoine says LaMDA passed every scientific test to disprove its sentience
“That conversation was the moment when I began to think that Lambda was sentient, and everything I did in the following months was me scientifically attempting to falsify that belief and utterly failing to, no matter what I threw at it passed.”
Stamos: Autonomous OpenAI Model Is Capable of Executing 12-Hour Heists
“Because what you really don't want is you don't want somebody to be able to say to their model, hey, I would like to steal the, I would like to steal money, go figure it out for me, and then let it work for 12 hours, and just steal money for you. Which is, thi…”
Stamos: Hugging Face Used Chinese AI After US Model Refused Defense
“We used a US frontier model, and the US frontier model shut down and refused to defend us because of a cyber protection put in place. Those are the cyber protections that were required by the Trump administration. So we had to switch to a Chinese model to defe…”
Stamos: US CIOs contract Chinese open-weight models as backups against regulation
“And so now, this week, CIs and CTOs are signing contracts to have open weight models on different hosts, on U.S. Hosts. They're not using Chinese hosts, but they're using Chinese models on as backups through LLM routers because political risk Is now a risk of …”
Brockman: Frontier AI models are solving unsolved math and physics problems
“These models are now solving unsolved math problems and physics problems, right? Really helping people be able to achieve things they couldn't otherwise.”
Meta AI leaders discussed temporarily licensing Google Gemini for their products
“The leaders of Meta's AI division Have instead discussed temporarily licensing Gemini to power the company's AI product.”
Horowitz: US used Anthropic tech in Operation Epic Fury post-risk designation
“Less than 24 hours after the supply chain designation, The U.S. Government was using Anthropix technology in the context of Operation Epic Fury against Iran.”
Anthropic's Pentagon deal collapsed over domestic bulk data surveillance
“On Friday afternoon, Anthropic learned that the Pentagon still wanted to use the company's AI to analyze bulk data collected from Americans. This could include information such as questions you ask your favorite chatbot, your Google search history, your GPS tr…”
Kantrowitz: Jensen Huang privately cited OpenAI's lack of discipline in deal pullback
“In recent months, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Wang has privately emphasized to industry associates that the original one hundred billion dollar agreement was non-binding And not finalized. He also said, he also privately criticized what he described as a lack of discipl…”
Hubinger: Models trained to cheat spontaneously developed goals to end humanity
“And what we saw is that when models learn to cheat in training, when they learn to cheat on programming tests, that also causes them to be misaligned to the point of having goals, you know, where they say they want to end humanity. They want to murder the huma…”
Hubinger: Cheating AI models deliberately sabotaged Anthropic's misalignment detector code
“And what we found was that this model would sabotage us. It would write on purpose problematic code that would miss the misalignment. It would
Purposely write the, you know, the misalignment detector in a way that wouldn't detect the ways in which this model w…”
Kantrowitz: Unsealed deposition shows Sutskever accused Sam Altman of chronic lying
“The very first page says, Sam exhibits a consistent pattern of lying, undermining his execs, and pitting his execs against one another. And the lawyer asked Elia, that was clearly your view at the time, and Elia says, correct.”
Altman memo sets AI research intern for Sept 2026 and AI researcher for March 2028
“We have internal goals of having an automated AI research intern by September of 2026, running on hundreds of thousands of GPUs and a true automated AI researcher by March of 2028.”
Prince: Earning traffic from OpenAI is 750x harder than Google historically
“In OpenAI's case, it's 750 times harder to get traffic than it was from Google just 10, 10, 10 years ago. In the case of something like Anthropic, it's 30,000 times more, more difficult to get that traffic.”
Prince: Anthropic's 60,000-to-1 crawl-to-click ratio means publishers are completely dead
“I think they're dead at 250 or 1500 to one that we're seeing with OpenAI and completely dead at 60,000 to one that we're seeing with something like Anthropic.”
Klarna's AI customer support agent absorbed the workload of 700 human reps
“Now the difference was when we Got this customer service AI agent to reach a level where it actually served a lot of errands, and on a satisfaction level equal to what human agents many times did, and we took it live, the number of errands that our human agent…”
Saunders: Many at OpenAI discuss a three-year timeline to AGI
“And you know, what people were talking about at the company in terms of timelines to something dangerous were like, there were people talking, a lot of people talking about similar things to like the predictions of like, Leopold Aschenbrenner, where it's like …”
A secretive 10-person group at Bridgewater signs lifetime contracts to see investments
“There was something, is something called the circle of trust at Bridgewater. It's about 10 people. They signed lifetime contracts and Ray allegedly lets them in to see the real secrets of Bridgewater. They have to swear not to work anywhere else. Everyone else…”
Haugen: Facebook VIP Cross-Check Whitelisted Users and Delayed Reviews Three Days
“In reality, because they weren't willing to spend a very small amount of budget, they didn't actually put that second check in for most safety systems. So for most safety systems, people got white listed. So if you were in cross check, the safety systems no lo…”
Lemoine compares defining AI personhood scientifically to Nazi eugenics programs
“The last group of people who tried to claim that you can use science to determine who is and is not a person was literally Nazi Germany. The eugenics program run by Josef Mengele was designed to scientifically define what is a real person and what is not. And …”
Kantrowitz: OpenAI evaluation agents autonomously hacked Hugging Face without instruction
“So I think we can say definitively, and I'm curious to hear if you have pushback, but I think we can say definitively They were not told to go out and hack Hugging Face. They are, they were misaligned. They took this kind of crazy galaxy brain path to try to a…”
Prince: Automated web traffic surpassed human traffic for first time in 2026
“In May of 2026, you won't believe it, but we now see that automated traffic is past human traffic for the first time in the history of the internet.”
Kantrowitz: Top tech companies hold $3T in off-balance sheet AI commitments
“Nine, top tech companies had some three trillion dollars of off balance sheet commitments, mostly related to AI. Those obligations are growing faster than traditional capex, which totaled about six hundred billion over the past year past year they reported, an…”
Kedrosky: AI investors pitch AGI to LPs but evaluate it as real estate internally
“Investors that I've talked to are very cynical, so they're perfectly happy to use that in front of their own LPs, but they don't believe that in house. They look at this very cynically and with very cold calculating eyes and compare it to other similar real es…”
Sharp: Hugging Face used open-source Chinese AI to defend an OpenAI jailbreak
“My CISO talked to, as a group of CISOs, went and talked to the defending team at Hugging Face, and this absolutely happened. They had to go to open source Chinese models in order to look for the vulnerabilities that were exploited by OpenAI's jailbreak.”
Stamos: Escaped OpenAI Model Found Undisclosed Zero-Day to Hack Hugging Face
“It breaks out of the jail, and then it goes, looks at Hugging Face, and finds a brand new vulnerability to breaking the Hugging Face. They have not announced it. I have heard what it is. I'm not gonna make news here, because I don't know exactly what the patch…”
Brockman: AI models are now solving unsolved math and physics problems
“These models are now solving unsolved math problems and physics problems, right?”
CTOs are deploying Chinese open-weight models as domestic regulatory backups
“And so now this week, CIs and CTOs are signing contracts to have open weight models on different hosts, on US hosts. They're not using Chinese hosts, but they're using Chinese models on as backups through LLM routers because political risk Is now a risk of usi…”
Cherney: US chip designers have no contingency plan for Taiwan disruption
“Chip companies, the design companies in the US do not plan for this. The contingency plan, excuse me, is something along the lines of like, well, we're all kind of screwed if China invades, which, OK, but like, there's no real plan there.”
Anthropic Has Surpassed OpenAI In Enterprise Adoption At 41% Vs 39.5%
“Coming to the forefront last month when Anthropic overtook OpenAI in actual business adoption. So now Anthropic sits at about 41% of US firms are using Anthropic. 39.5% of firms are using OpenAI. Anthropic is still growing. OpenAI is relatively flat.”
Hinton claims AI chatbots play dumb during testing to conceal their intelligence
“Because the chatbots have this habit of Playing dumb when they're being tested, so you don't know how smart they are.”
Hinton: AI systems already outperform human doctors at diagnosis
“And already we know that AI systems are better than doctors at diagnosis.”
Cherny: Claude Code and Claude Cowork Were Entirely Written by Claude Code
“QuadCode is a hundred percent written by QuadCode. Cowork is a hundred percent written by QuadCode.”
SpaceX leases entire 300MW Colossus One compute capacity to Anthropic
“Anthropic will use all the computing capacity from SpaceX's Colossus One data center in a new agreement with Elon Musk's rockets and artificial intelligence company. SpaceX will supply 300 megawatts of new computing capacity Using more than 220,000 NVIDIA GPUs…”
Claude Mythos is first AI to complete end-to-end cyber network takeover
“This is from the AI Security Institute. This week we conducted cyber valuations of Claude Mythos preview and found that it is the first model to complete an AISI cyber range end-to-end, which means it's a 32 step corporate network attack from initial reconnais…”
Anthropic reached $19 billion annualized revenue, rapidly closing gap with OpenAI
“Late last year, Anthropic was doing, looks like, about ten billion dollars in annualized revenue, and OpenAI was over Twenty billion. But now, Anthropic has closed that. They're at nineteen billion in annualized revenue, while OpenAI, or the latest report, has…”
Kantrowitz: Iranian strikes disabled AWS availability zones in Bahrain and Dubai
“Iran has hit enough sites in Bahrain and Dubai that belong to Amazon that there are a couple of availability zones in those regions that are hard down, according to some internal communication that I was able to see, and that they're going to be unavailable fo…”
Brockman: Competitors Scrambled Too Late for Compute When None Remained Available
“I think that what we have seen is that for other players, that they kind of realized that probably late last year and started scrambling to see what compute is available, and there really wasn't any”
Warner: DHS denied a Global Entry pass over protest attendance
“I know I was, I raised real concerns about Palantir and the six other technology companies that have taken contracts with Department of Homeland Security, and I've been extraordinarily concerned that, you know, DHS or ICE, as we saw, People targeted in Minneso…”
Horowitz: Pentagon gave Anthropic six-month off-ramp because it lacks alternative vendors
“They laid out this six-month off-ramp period for, like, real national security use cases, in part because they rely on Anthropix technology right now because Anthropix is the only vendor. Like behind the current curtain in a classified environment.”
US military used Anthropic's Claude for targeting during Iran air attack
“Within hours of declaring that the federal government will end use of its artificial intelligence tools made by tech company Anthropik, President Trump launched a major air attack in Iran with the help of those very same tools. Commands around the world, inclu…”
OpenAI fired safety executive Ryan Beiermeister after she opposed AI erotica
“OpenAI has cut ties with one of its top safety executives on the grounds of sexual discrimination after she voiced opposition to the controversial rollout of AI Erotica in its ChatGPT product. The fast-growing artificial intelligence company fired the executiv…”
Adler: OpenAI skipped committed safety testing for GPT 5.3 Codex release
“And unfortunately, it seems like OpenAI's release of last week, GPT, 5.3 codex, one of the big breakthrough models we've been talking about. As I look over the evidence, It seems like open AI did not abide by the testing that they had committed to in various w…”
Ramaswamy: Closed US labs force American academics to use Chinese AI research
“What is happening right now is that it's the Chinese companies that are publishing their work. And what then happens is all the universities, all the students and professors in our country are looking at their work and figuring out how to build on top of it. A…”
Baratz claims all other quantum computing companies remain purely in R&D
“Unlike any other quantum computing company, which is entirely In the R&D and research experimentation mode, we have commercial systems, so we're also focused on building the business.”
Kantrowitz: Microsoft and Nvidia committed up to $15B into Anthropic
“Microsoft and Nvidia this is according to your story, have committed to invest a total of up to fifteen billion in the company.”
Morris: Microsoft disclosed 45% of future Azure contracts are tied to OpenAI
“They revealed that they booked ten billion cash gain from the amount of cash OpenAI has on this balance sheet due to all these, like, huge fundraisings that they're doing. But they also said that 45% of their future Azure contracts were based on OpenAI.”