The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Balmain: Musk will likely make concessions to appease Twitter advertisers
“It's potentially quite likely that concessions will have to be made by him in order to, you know appease brand advertisers in, in certain ways that some of these people who were very jubilant and joyful about this might have a very quick turn of heart about th…”
Simon Balmain Nov 9, 2022 ▶ 27:23 Elon Musk Laid Me Off At Twitter: Simon Balmain
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Twitter's direct user revenue will not offset falling advertising spend
“Not confident that a push on direct revenue products via users will pick up at the same pace that ad revenue may drop.”
Simon Balmain Nov 9, 2022 ▶ 29:16 Elon Musk Laid Me Off At Twitter: Simon Balmain
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Balmain: Surviving Twitter employees will likely quit soon
“And I think that there are people who, even if they have, you know, survived this probably very likely to leave their own accord in, in the not too distant future.”
Simon Balmain Nov 9, 2022 ▶ 12:31 Elon Musk Laid Me Off At Twitter: Simon Balmain
Prediction Held up
Balmain: Twitter will prioritize paid features and creator monetization cuts
“There will be a large focus on products that directly drive revenue to the company in that the user will need to pay to do X or Y. And then the other one will be a high priority attempt at sort of creative programs, influencer programs where users pay other us…”
Simon Balmain Nov 9, 2022 ▶ 14:00 Elon Musk Laid Me Off At Twitter: Simon Balmain
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Balmain: Twitter layoffs will spark a wave of new startups
“And it's impossible for me to think that there won't be a bunch of new, incredible startups that come out of this.”
Simon Balmain Nov 9, 2022 ▶ 25:01 Elon Musk Laid Me Off At Twitter: Simon Balmain
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