The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Smith: Predictions that AI will replace 40-60% of jobs are 'hooey'
“This is complete hooey, and they all come up with really huge percentage, like, 40%, 60% of your jobs are gonna be replaced by AI, so, you know, every, there's a million groups doing this, and they'll come up with different things, and it's hooey for a number …”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 13:02 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
Opinion
Smith: China is conducting the largest military buildup in world history
“And in absolute terms, the most impressive military buildup the world has ever seen ever is happening in China right now.”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 48:18 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
Opinion
Smith: PMC socialism is America's most important political tendency today
“Barbara Ehrenreich called this PMC socialism. She called it professional, professional managerial class socialism. And a lot of people like infinite people have remarked on this tendency. I think it's the most important political tendency in America today”
Noah Smith Jul 2, 2025 ▶ 30:07 Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith
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